AccuPredict Driver Projection Results

NASCAR Cup Series

This is a historical results' page analyzing Accupredict's accuracy in driver projections. A novel idea, right? Checking how accurate an experts projections are.

Ty Dillon

View CUP Series Statistics driver page.

221 Cup Series races with projected and actual finish positions are available for Ty Dillon.

Averaged statistics of all race projections Accupredict has made for Ty Dillon.

FINISH 21.95
Rank 26.50
Rank +/- -4.55
Projected 22.75
Projected +/- -0.80

Tracks

Track Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Atlanta Motor Speedway 9 22.67 26.33 -3.67 22.59 0.07
Auto Club Speedway 6 24.33 25.67 -1.33 22.17 2.17
Bristol Motor Speedway 12 21.92 27.25 -5.33 23.72 -1.80
Bristol Motor Speedway (Dirt) 2 18.00 27.00 -9.00 21.39 -3.39
Charlotte Motor Speedway 8 21.75 26.63 -4.88 22.70 -0.95
Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course 5 22.20 26.20 -4.00 23.25 -1.05
Chicagoland Speedway 4 29.50 27.25 2.25 22.96 6.54
Circuit of The Americas 3 26.67 32.33 -5.67 26.05 0.62
Darlington Raceway 9 20.89 25.56 -4.67 22.08 -1.19
Daytona International Speedway 13 21.15 24.08 -2.92 20.70 0.46
Daytona Road Course 2 19.50 27.00 -7.50 23.21 -3.71
Dover International Speedway 10 24.00 26.90 -2.90 23.67 0.33
Homestead Miami Speedway 7 26.00 29.00 -3.00 25.04 0.96
Indianapolis Motor Speedway 4 16.75 26.00 -9.25 22.92 -6.17
Indianapolis Motor Speedway Road Course 2 27.00 31.00 -4.00 24.61 2.39
Kansas Speedway 11 22.55 27.45 -4.91 23.90 -1.36
Kentucky Speedway 5 25.80 27.40 -1.60 22.76 3.04
Las Vegas Motor Speedway 11 23.18 26.91 -3.73 23.03 0.15
Martinsville Speedway 10 21.90 26.40 -4.50 23.19 -1.29
Michigan International Speedway 11 20.55 26.55 -6.00 22.91 -2.37
Nashville Superspeedway 1 31.00 31.00 0.00 23.55 7.45
New Hampshire Motor Speedway 7 20.00 26.14 -6.14 22.36 -2.36
Phoenix Raceway 13 20.00 26.62 -6.62 23.90 -3.90
Pocono Raceway 11 22.73 27.55 -4.82 23.33 -0.61
Richmond Raceway 10 24.00 26.30 -2.30 22.33 1.67
Road America 3 27.67 31.67 -4.00 23.74 3.93
Sonoma Raceway 4 27.75 29.50 -1.75 24.97 2.78
Talladega Superspeedway 10 15.20 24.90 -9.70 21.02 -5.82
Texas Motor Speedway 11 19.64 25.27 -5.64 22.36 -2.73
Watkins Glen International 4 22.00 29.00 -7.00 24.28 -2.28
World Wide Technology Raceway 1 27.00 27.00 0.00 20.49 6.51

Track Types

Type Races Description AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Flat 57 The 'Flat' NASCAR tracks are Indianapolis, Martinsville, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Pocono and Richmond. We originally grouped Indianapolis and Pocono as 'Shallow' Tracks. But, the pair provided little statistical data at only three races per year. Therefore, we grouped them into the 'Flat' Tracks category. As a result, we found that results for eight-race averages show improvement in all Flat Track correlations. Pocono in particular is better correlated with this new grouping of Flat Tracks. 21.65 26.68 -5.04 23.07 -1.42
Large Oval 65 The 'Large Oval' NASCAR tracks are Atlanta, California, Charlotte, Chicago, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan and Texas. This grouping of tracks show a fairly tight clustering of the curves and improved correlations for each of the member tracks with average finishes over other groupings these tracks get placed in. 22.48 26.49 -4.02 22.84 -0.36
Restrictor Plate 23 The 'Tapered Spacer' (aka 'Restrictor Plate') NASCAR tracks are Daytona and Talladega. The restrictor plate is gone, but the combination of tapered spacer, larger spoiler, larger splitter and aero ducts give us the same close pack racing. 18.57 24.43 -5.87 20.84 -2.27
Road Course 23 The 'Road Course' NASCAR tracks are unique from all other tracks as well as each other. Still, we choose to group them together for statistical comparisons. 24.61 29.26 -4.65 24.27 0.34
Steep 51 The 'Steep' NASCAR tracks are Bristol, Darlington, Dover, Homestead-Miami and Las Vegas. 22.82 27.04 -4.22 23.36 -0.54

Seasons

Season Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
2023 6 32.83 33.83 -1.00 26.13 6.71
2022 41 22.46 28.66 -6.20 23.14 -0.68
2021 9 17.00 25.56 -8.56 22.41 -5.41
2020 37 21.57 25.51 -3.95 22.26 -0.69
2019 37 20.76 24.76 -4.00 22.52 -1.76
2018 36 24.14 27.69 -3.56 24.15 -0.01
2017 36 20.72 26.42 -5.69 22.54 -1.82
2016 11 24.00 25.45 -1.45 22.31 1.69
2015 5 21.80 26.40 -4.60 22.68 -0.88
2014 1 27.00 29.00 -2.00 25.08 1.92