AccuPredict Driver Projection Results

NASCAR Cup Series

This is a historical results' page analyzing Accupredict's accuracy in driver projections. A novel idea, right? Checking how accurate an experts projections are.

Ty Dillon

254 Cup Series races with projected and actual finish position for Ty Dillon are available.

Averaged statistics of all race projections Accupredict has made for Ty Dillon.

FINISH 22.35
Rank 27.39
Rank +/- -5.04
Projected 23.21
Projected +/- -0.87

Tracks

Track Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Atlanta Motor Speedway 10 22.30 27.30 -5.00 23.00 -0.70
Auto Club Speedway 6 24.33 25.67 -1.33 22.17 2.17
Bristol Motor Speedway 13 22.77 27.69 -4.92 23.94 -1.17
Bristol Motor Speedway (Dirt) 3 19.00 29.33 -10.33 22.45 -3.45
Charlotte Motor Speedway 9 22.33 27.56 -5.22 23.20 -0.87
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Track Types

Type Races Description AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Flat 67 The 'Flat' NASCAR tracks are Indianapolis, Martinsville, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Pocono and Richmond. We originally grouped Indianapolis and Pocono as 'Shallow' Tracks. But, the pair provided little statistical data at only three races per year. Therefore, we grouped them into the 'Flat' Tracks category. As a result, we found that results for eight-race averages show improvement in all Flat Track correlations. Pocono in particular is better correlated with this new grouping of Flat Tracks. 22.52 27.76 -5.24 23.78 -1.26
Large Oval 71 The 'Large Oval' NASCAR tracks are Atlanta, California, Charlotte, Chicago, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan and Texas. This grouping of tracks show a fairly tight clustering of the curves and improved correlations for each of the member tracks with average finishes over other groupings these tracks get placed in. 22.48 27.18 -4.70 23.18 -0.70
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Seasons

Season Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
2023 39 26.90 34.23 -7.33 26.98 -0.08
2022 41 22.46 28.66 -6.20 23.14 -0.68
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