AccuPredict Driver Projections

NASCAR Xfinity Series

Accupredict driver finish projections for the upcoming race. It ain't rocket science. But it's pretty darn close!

Pit Boss 250 presented by USA Today @ Circuit of The Americas

This Week's Race! Race #6 of the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series Season - March 25th, 2023.

METRICS CONTRIBUTING TO THE CURRENT PROJECTION

4 of 6 metrics are in use: Recent Form YTD Driver Rating Track Type Form Track Driver Rating Practice Qualifying

Accupredict projections are recalculated as new race metric data is available. (Last updated Wednesday, March 22nd at 9:04pm ET)

Driver Groupings

Use my groupings or create your own custom driver groups.

Accupredict Pages

Accupredict is my exclusive NASCAR driver finish position projection tool for Crew Chief and Owner subscribers. The projection algorithm is the work of research scientist Cliff DeJong using traditional and loop data statistics. I've had it online since the 2012 Daytona 500.

NASCAR CUP SERIES

NASCAR XFINITY SERIES

ACCUPREDICT ARTICLES by Cliff DeJong

The driver, track and race links in the tables link to more historical Accupredict data.

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Driver # Make RNK PRJ FIN AP Win AP T3 AP T5 AP T10 AP Win % AP T3 % AP T5 % AP T10 % RCNT Form YTD DR Type Track PRAC ST DK $
Austin Hill 21 Chevrolet 1 9.38 +650 +200 +125 -210 18% 32% 46% 68% 7.9 126.1 15.5 100.2 0.0 0 9,700
Sam Mayer 1 Chevrolet 2 10.59 +900 +300 +150 -160 14% 26% 39% 62% 10.2 94.2 15.5 107.1 0.0 0 8,900
Justin Allgaier 7 Chevrolet 3 10.84 +950 +300 +175 -150 13% 25% 38% 61% 10.5 98.3 14.5 89.0 0.0 0 9,300
John Hunter Nemechek 20 Toyota 4 10.93 +950 +300 +175 -150 13% 25% 37% 60% 9.5 107.0 18.0 88.4 0.0 0 9,500
AJ Allmendinger 10 Chevrolet 5 10.95 +950 +300 +175 -150 13% 25% 37% 60% 6.7 59.1 1.9 113.5 0.0 0 10,600
Cole Custer 00 Ford 6 12.46 +1500 +450 +250 -110 9% 18% 29% 53% 14.4 88.9 13.0 86.7 0.0 0 9,900
Ty Gibbs 19 Toyota 7 12.57 +1550 +450 +250 -110 8% 18% 29% 52% 6.5 63.6 12.5 89.0 0.0 0 10,100
Chandler Smith 16 Chevrolet 8 14.08 +2850 +700 +350 +125 5% 12% 22% 45% 9.8 100.8 27.0 82.3 0.0 0 8,600
Sammy Smith 18 Toyota 9 14.34 +3200 +750 +375 +125 4% 12% 21% 44% 13.7 91.6 13.5 69.4 0.0 0 8,800
Daniel Hemric 11 Chevrolet 10 14.98 +4600 +950 +450 +150 3% 10% 19% 41% 13.4 84.0 18.1 71.3 0.0 0 8,200
Parker Kligerman 48 Chevrolet 11 15.46 +6450 +1100 +500 +150 2% 8% 17% 39% 11.5 77.9 24.5 85.9 0.0 0 8,400
Sheldon Creed 2 Chevrolet 12 15.87 +9400 +1250 +550 +175 1% 7% 15% 37% 15.8 82.5 19.3 78.7 0.0 0 9,200
William Byron 17 Chevrolet 13 16.61 +33300 +1700 +675 +200 0% 6% 13% 33% 27.0 100.9 25.0 83.0 0.0 0 10,400
Brett Moffitt 25 Ford 14 16.65 +36950 +1750 +675 +200 0% 5% 13% 33% 14.8 80.6 24.3 79.6 0.0 0 7,400
Josh Berry 8 Chevrolet 15 16.80 +75850 +1850 +700 +200 0% 5% 12% 33% 9.1 82.6 10.8 47.2 0.0 0 9,000
Riley Herbst 98 Ford 16 17.12 +2100 +775 +225 0% 5% 12% 31% 11.3 94.0 19.4 59.2 0.0 0 8,000
Jeb Burton 27 Chevrolet 17 17.78 +2950 +925 +250 0% 3% 10% 28% 18.3 72.5 25.8 84.0 0.0 0 6,400
Brandon Jones 9 Chevrolet 18 18.06 +3400 +1000 +275 0% 3% 9% 27% 15.4 78.2 15.1 64.6 0.0 0 7,700
Anthony Alfredo 78 Chevrolet 19 19.94 +1800 +425 0% 0% 5% 19% 19.1 73.2 19.2 65.4 0.0 0 6,800
Kyle Weatherman 02 Chevrolet 20 20.59 +2225 +500 0% 0% 4% 16% 19.9 59.9 22.8 69.4 0.0 0 6,000
Ryan Sieg 39 Ford 21 20.68 +2300 +525 0% 0% 4% 16% 17.4 77.1 18.8 52.5 0.0 0 7,100
Preston Pardus 50 Chevrolet 22 20.99 +2550 +575 0% 0% 4% 15% 21.0 51.3 19.7 69.8 0.0 0 5,800
Parker Chase 35 Ford 23 21.23 0% 0% 0% 0% 16.0 69.0 23.0 58.9 0.0 0 5,900
Jeremy Clements 51 Chevrolet 24 21.34 0% 0% 0% 0% 20.5 63.4 17.0 62.6 0.0 0 6,200
Parker Retzlaff 31 Chevrolet 25 21.34 0% 0% 0% 0% 20.6 61.0 27.0 69.4 0.0 0 5,400
Kaz Grala 26 Toyota 26 21.59 0% 0% 0% 0% 27.9 57.8 24.0 79.7 0.0 0 7,900
Josh Williams 92 Chevrolet 27 21.60 0% 0% 0% 0% 24.5 53.8 20.4 69.4 0.0 0 0
Miguel Paludo 88 Chevrolet 28 21.94 0% 0% 0% 0% 27.0 51.3 19.7 70.3 0.0 0 7,200
Kyle Sieg 28 Ford 29 22.90 0% 0% 0% 0% 23.7 52.4 27.0 69.4 0.0 0 5,000
Connor Mosack 24 Toyota 30 23.64 0% 0% 0% 0% 27.0 46.4 21.5 69.4 0.0 0 6,900
Baltazar Leguizamon 74 Chevrolet 31 23.74 0% 0% 0% 0% 27.0 51.3 27.0 69.4 0.0 0 4,900
Jeffrey Earnhardt 45 Chevrolet 32 24.57 0% 0% 0% 0% 29.3 39.7 20.0 69.4 0.0 0 5,100
Aric Almirola 08 Chevrolet 33 24.70 0% 0% 0% 0% 27.0 64.2 27.0 54.3 0.0 0 7,500
Brennan Poole 6 Chevrolet 34 24.99 0% 0% 0% 0% 27.5 46.2 27.0 69.4 0.0 0 4,700
Brad Perez 53 Chevrolet 35 25.56 0% 0% 0% 0% 23.0 51.3 21.5 42.2 0.0 0 4,800
Joe Graf Jr 38 Ford 36 25.89 0% 0% 0% 0% 23.0 63.6 29.2 36.2 0.0 0 5,200
Sage Karam 44 Chevrolet 37 26.98 0% 0% 0% 0% 26.3 45.5 23.5 55.8 0.0 0 6,600
Cameron Lawrence 66 Chevrolet 38 28.16 0% 0% 0% 0% 27.0 51.3 27.0 35.5 0.0 0 5,600
Josh Bilicki 91 Chevrolet 39 30.38 0% 0% 0% 0% 32.5 34.0 27.0 44.1 0.0 0 5,700
Ryan Ellis 43 Chevrolet 40 30.58 0% 0% 0% 0% 25.6 44.2 36.0 41.7 0.0 0 4,600
Garrett Smithley 4 Chevrolet 41 30.79 0% 0% 0% 0% 30.7 29.7 27.0 37.7 0.0 0 4,500
Blaine Perkins 07 Chevrolet 42 31.13 0% 0% 0% 0% 29.4 35.8 29.0 28.8 0.0 0 0