NASCAR Cup Series

AccuPredict Driver Projection Results

This is a historical results page analyzing Accupredict's accuracy in it's driver projections. A novel idea, right? Checking how accurate an experts projections are.

Chase Elliott

220 Cup Series races with projected and actual finish position for Chase Elliott are available.

Averaged statistics of all race projections Accupredict has made for Chase Elliott.

FINISH 12.93
Rank 8.84
Rank +/- 4.10
Projected 12.99
Projected +/- -0.06

Tracks

Track Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Atlanta Motor Speedway 7 13.57 12.00 1.57 14.40 -0.83
Auto Club Speedway 5 9.40 9.60 -0.20 13.60 -4.20
Bristol Motor Speedway 12 12.25 7.00 5.25 12.20 0.05
Bristol Motor Speedway (Dirt) 1 10.00 7.00 3.00 12.18 -2.18
Charlotte Motor Speedway 10 12.00 9.40 2.60 13.62 -1.62
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Track Types

Type Races Description AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Flat 62 The 'Flat' NASCAR tracks are Indianapolis, Martinsville, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Pocono and Richmond. We originally grouped Indianapolis and Pocono as 'Shallow' Tracks. But, the pair provided little statistical data at only three races per year. Therefore, we grouped them into the 'Flat' Tracks category. As a result, we found that results for eight-race averages show improvement in all Flat Track correlations. Pocono in particular is better correlated with this new grouping of Flat Tracks. 13.77 9.77 4.00 13.45 0.33
Large Oval 64 The 'Large Oval' NASCAR tracks are Atlanta, California, Charlotte, Chicago, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan and Texas. This grouping of tracks show a fairly tight clustering of the curves and improved correlations for each of the member tracks with average finishes over other groupings these tracks get placed in. 11.02 8.58 2.44 12.79 -1.77
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Seasons

Season Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
2021 32 10.34 6.72 3.63 11.41 -1.07
2020 37 11.89 6.73 5.16 11.67 0.23
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