AccuPredict Driver Projection Results

NASCAR Cup Series

This is a historical results' page analyzing Accupredict's accuracy in driver projections. A novel idea, right? Checking how accurate an experts projections are.

Brad Keselowski

View CUP Series Statistics driver page.

407 Cup Series races with projected and actual finish positions are available for Brad Keselowski.

Averaged statistics of all race projections Accupredict has made for Brad Keselowski.

FINISH 12.70
Rank 7.86
Rank +/- 4.84
Projected 12.77
Projected +/- -0.07

Tracks

Track Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Atlanta Motor Speedway 14 12.71 9.21 3.50 13.81 -1.10
Auto Club Speedway 11 11.36 6.82 4.55 12.71 -1.34
Bristol Motor Speedway 21 16.81 6.81 10.00 12.29 4.51
Bristol Motor Speedway (Dirt) 2 11.00 13.50 -2.50 15.18 -4.18
Charlotte Motor Speedway 18 12.94 9.72 3.22 13.51 -0.57
Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course 5 17.60 11.00 6.60 13.82 3.78
Chicagoland Speedway 8 5.25 4.63 0.63 11.23 -5.98
Circuit of The Americas 3 22.67 20.67 2.00 18.99 3.68
Darlington Raceway 15 13.07 7.80 5.27 12.49 0.58
Daytona International Speedway 23 22.30 10.13 12.17 15.23 7.07
Daytona Road Course 2 9.00 8.00 1.00 13.56 -4.56
Dover International Speedway 20 12.05 7.75 4.30 12.64 -0.59
Homestead Miami Speedway 11 11.18 7.18 4.00 12.10 -0.91
Indianapolis Motor Speedway 9 12.67 7.22 5.44 12.35 0.31
Indianapolis Motor Speedway Road Course 2 22.00 21.00 1.00 18.65 3.35
Kansas Speedway 22 12.50 7.73 4.77 12.66 -0.16
Kentucky Speedway 9 12.56 3.67 8.89 10.45 2.11
Las Vegas Motor Speedway 17 8.71 8.88 -0.18 13.33 -4.63
Martinsville Speedway 22 10.14 6.00 4.14 11.69 -1.55
Michigan International Speedway 20 10.15 7.65 2.50 12.52 -2.37
Nashville Superspeedway 2 26.50 19.50 7.00 19.09 7.41
New Hampshire Motor Speedway 17 7.82 5.82 2.00 11.35 -3.53
Phoenix Raceway 23 11.35 7.09 4.26 12.06 -0.72
Pocono Raceway 21 9.76 7.81 1.95 12.39 -2.62
Richmond Raceway 21 9.95 7.48 2.48 12.36 -2.41
Road America 2 23.00 20.00 3.00 17.16 5.85
Sonoma Raceway 10 14.80 12.80 2.00 14.87 -0.07
Talladega Superspeedway 22 15.86 4.59 11.27 12.86 3.00
Texas Motor Speedway 22 12.68 7.45 5.23 12.38 0.30
Watkins Glen International 10 14.40 7.00 7.40 12.47 1.93
World Wide Technology Raceway 1 20.00 23.00 -3.00 19.37 0.63

Track Types

Type Races Description AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Flat 116 The 'Flat' NASCAR tracks are Indianapolis, Martinsville, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Pocono and Richmond. We originally grouped Indianapolis and Pocono as 'Shallow' Tracks. But, the pair provided little statistical data at only three races per year. Therefore, we grouped them into the 'Flat' Tracks category. As a result, we found that results for eight-race averages show improvement in all Flat Track correlations. Pocono in particular is better correlated with this new grouping of Flat Tracks. 10.50 7.26 3.24 12.21 -1.71
Large Oval 124 The 'Large Oval' NASCAR tracks are Atlanta, California, Charlotte, Chicago, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan and Texas. This grouping of tracks show a fairly tight clustering of the curves and improved correlations for each of the member tracks with average finishes over other groupings these tracks get placed in. 11.68 7.55 4.13 12.59 -0.92
Restrictor Plate 45 The 'Tapered Spacer' (aka 'Restrictor Plate') NASCAR tracks are Daytona and Talladega. The restrictor plate is gone, but the combination of tapered spacer, larger spoiler, larger splitter and aero ducts give us the same close pack racing. 19.16 7.42 11.73 14.07 5.08
Road Course 34 The 'Road Course' NASCAR tracks are unique from all other tracks as well as each other. Still, we choose to group them together for statistical comparisons. 16.35 12.15 4.21 14.65 1.70
Steep 86 The 'Steep' NASCAR tracks are Bristol, Darlington, Dover, Homestead-Miami and Las Vegas. 12.59 7.81 4.78 12.66 -0.06

Seasons

Season Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
2023 6 16.83 10.83 6.00 15.35 1.49
2022 37 18.08 17.03 1.05 17.26 0.82
2021 37 12.73 8.43 4.30 12.42 0.31
2020 37 9.92 4.27 5.65 10.27 -0.35
2019 36 12.89 6.19 6.69 12.08 0.81
2018 36 13.36 6.69 6.67 12.21 1.15
2017 36 12.42 5.53 6.89 11.48 0.93
2016 36 11.47 5.64 5.83 11.58 -0.11
2015 36 11.06 5.50 5.56 11.43 -0.37
2014 36 12.64 5.75 6.89 12.06 0.58
2013 36 14.94 9.92 5.03 13.71 1.23
2012 36 10.08 11.22 -1.14 16.20 -6.12