AccuPredict Driver Projection Results

NASCAR Cup Series
This is a historical results' page analyzing Accupredict's accuracy in driver projections. A novel idea, right? Checking how accurate an experts projections are.
Brad Keselowski
View CUP Series Statistics driver page.
407 Cup Series races with projected and actual finish positions are available for Brad Keselowski.
Averaged statistics of all race projections Accupredict has made for Brad Keselowski.
FINISH
12.70
Rank
7.86
Rank +/-
4.84
Projected
12.77
Projected +/-
-0.07
Tracks
Track | Races | AVG FIN | AVG RNK | RNK +/- | AVG PRJ | PRJ +/- |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Motor Speedway | 14 | 12.71 | 9.21 | 3.50 | 13.81 | -1.10 |
Auto Club Speedway | 11 | 11.36 | 6.82 | 4.55 | 12.71 | -1.34 |
Bristol Motor Speedway | 21 | 16.81 | 6.81 | 10.00 | 12.29 | 4.51 |
Bristol Motor Speedway (Dirt) | 2 | 11.00 | 13.50 | -2.50 | 15.18 | -4.18 |
Charlotte Motor Speedway | 18 | 12.94 | 9.72 | 3.22 | 13.51 | -0.57 |
Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course | 5 | 17.60 | 11.00 | 6.60 | 13.82 | 3.78 |
Chicagoland Speedway | 8 | 5.25 | 4.63 | 0.63 | 11.23 | -5.98 |
Circuit of The Americas | 3 | 22.67 | 20.67 | 2.00 | 18.99 | 3.68 |
Darlington Raceway | 15 | 13.07 | 7.80 | 5.27 | 12.49 | 0.58 |
Daytona International Speedway | 23 | 22.30 | 10.13 | 12.17 | 15.23 | 7.07 |
Daytona Road Course | 2 | 9.00 | 8.00 | 1.00 | 13.56 | -4.56 |
Dover International Speedway | 20 | 12.05 | 7.75 | 4.30 | 12.64 | -0.59 |
Homestead Miami Speedway | 11 | 11.18 | 7.18 | 4.00 | 12.10 | -0.91 |
Indianapolis Motor Speedway | 9 | 12.67 | 7.22 | 5.44 | 12.35 | 0.31 |
Indianapolis Motor Speedway Road Course | 2 | 22.00 | 21.00 | 1.00 | 18.65 | 3.35 |
Kansas Speedway | 22 | 12.50 | 7.73 | 4.77 | 12.66 | -0.16 |
Kentucky Speedway | 9 | 12.56 | 3.67 | 8.89 | 10.45 | 2.11 |
Las Vegas Motor Speedway | 17 | 8.71 | 8.88 | -0.18 | 13.33 | -4.63 |
Martinsville Speedway | 22 | 10.14 | 6.00 | 4.14 | 11.69 | -1.55 |
Michigan International Speedway | 20 | 10.15 | 7.65 | 2.50 | 12.52 | -2.37 |
Nashville Superspeedway | 2 | 26.50 | 19.50 | 7.00 | 19.09 | 7.41 |
New Hampshire Motor Speedway | 17 | 7.82 | 5.82 | 2.00 | 11.35 | -3.53 |
Phoenix Raceway | 23 | 11.35 | 7.09 | 4.26 | 12.06 | -0.72 |
Pocono Raceway | 21 | 9.76 | 7.81 | 1.95 | 12.39 | -2.62 |
Richmond Raceway | 21 | 9.95 | 7.48 | 2.48 | 12.36 | -2.41 |
Road America | 2 | 23.00 | 20.00 | 3.00 | 17.16 | 5.85 |
Sonoma Raceway | 10 | 14.80 | 12.80 | 2.00 | 14.87 | -0.07 |
Talladega Superspeedway | 22 | 15.86 | 4.59 | 11.27 | 12.86 | 3.00 |
Texas Motor Speedway | 22 | 12.68 | 7.45 | 5.23 | 12.38 | 0.30 |
Watkins Glen International | 10 | 14.40 | 7.00 | 7.40 | 12.47 | 1.93 |
World Wide Technology Raceway | 1 | 20.00 | 23.00 | -3.00 | 19.37 | 0.63 |
Track Types
Type | Races | Description | AVG FIN | AVG RNK | RNK +/- | AVG PRJ | PRJ +/- |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Flat | 116 | The 'Flat' NASCAR tracks are Indianapolis, Martinsville, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Pocono and Richmond. We originally grouped Indianapolis and Pocono as 'Shallow' Tracks. But, the pair provided little statistical data at only three races per year. Therefore, we grouped them into the 'Flat' Tracks category. As a result, we found that results for eight-race averages show improvement in all Flat Track correlations. Pocono in particular is better correlated with this new grouping of Flat Tracks. | 10.50 | 7.26 | 3.24 | 12.21 | -1.71 |
Large Oval | 124 | The 'Large Oval' NASCAR tracks are Atlanta, California, Charlotte, Chicago, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan and Texas. This grouping of tracks show a fairly tight clustering of the curves and improved correlations for each of the member tracks with average finishes over other groupings these tracks get placed in. | 11.68 | 7.55 | 4.13 | 12.59 | -0.92 |
Restrictor Plate | 45 | The 'Tapered Spacer' (aka 'Restrictor Plate') NASCAR tracks are Daytona and Talladega. The restrictor plate is gone, but the combination of tapered spacer, larger spoiler, larger splitter and aero ducts give us the same close pack racing. | 19.16 | 7.42 | 11.73 | 14.07 | 5.08 |
Road Course | 34 | The 'Road Course' NASCAR tracks are unique from all other tracks as well as each other. Still, we choose to group them together for statistical comparisons. | 16.35 | 12.15 | 4.21 | 14.65 | 1.70 |
Steep | 86 | The 'Steep' NASCAR tracks are Bristol, Darlington, Dover, Homestead-Miami and Las Vegas. | 12.59 | 7.81 | 4.78 | 12.66 | -0.06 |
Seasons
Season | Races | AVG FIN | AVG RNK | RNK +/- | AVG PRJ | PRJ +/- |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2023 | 6 | 16.83 | 10.83 | 6.00 | 15.35 | 1.49 |
2022 | 37 | 18.08 | 17.03 | 1.05 | 17.26 | 0.82 |
2021 | 37 | 12.73 | 8.43 | 4.30 | 12.42 | 0.31 |
2020 | 37 | 9.92 | 4.27 | 5.65 | 10.27 | -0.35 |
2019 | 36 | 12.89 | 6.19 | 6.69 | 12.08 | 0.81 |
2018 | 36 | 13.36 | 6.69 | 6.67 | 12.21 | 1.15 |
2017 | 36 | 12.42 | 5.53 | 6.89 | 11.48 | 0.93 |
2016 | 36 | 11.47 | 5.64 | 5.83 | 11.58 | -0.11 |
2015 | 36 | 11.06 | 5.50 | 5.56 | 11.43 | -0.37 |
2014 | 36 | 12.64 | 5.75 | 6.89 | 12.06 | 0.58 |
2013 | 36 | 14.94 | 9.92 | 5.03 | 13.71 | 1.23 |
2012 | 36 | 10.08 | 11.22 | -1.14 | 16.20 | -6.12 |