Accupredict Performance : USA Today 301
Accupredict driver finish projection results. It ain't rocket science. But it's pretty darn close!
Manufacturer Projected Odds
MAKE
IN RACE
ODDS TO WIN
PCT TO WIN
Toyota
8
-100
53%
Chevrolet
14
+300
24%
Ford
14
+350
23%
Accupredict Performance Analysis
Top-10 Accuracy
4 / 10
40% of projected Top-10 drivers actually finished there
Top-20 Accuracy
11 / 20
55% of projected Top-20 drivers actually finished there
Driver
NAME
CAR #
MAKE
Race Results
START
FINISH
LAPS BHND
STATUS
AP Projections
OFF-BY
FINISH
WIN
TOP-3
TOP-5
TOP-10
Christopher Bell
20
Toyota
4
1
0
Running
-3
4
9.6%
25.2%
37.6%
64.5%
Chase Briscoe
14
Ford
23
2
0
Running
-17
19
0.0%
1.7%
7.2%
24.9%
Josh Berry
4
Ford
10
3
0
Running
-12
15
0.6%
6.4%
14.2%
37.2%
Kyle Larson
5
Chevrolet
19
4
0
Running
-2
6
8.4%
22.7%
34.6%
61.6%
Chris Buescher
17
Ford
15
5
0
Running
-9
14
0.9%
6.9%
14.9%
38.3%
Tyler Reddick
45
Toyota
12
6
0
Running
-5
11
4.5%
14.8%
25.0%
51.2%
Ricky Stenhouse Jr
47
Chevrolet
13
7
0
Running
-17
24
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
John Hunter Nemechek
42
Toyota
28
8
0
Running
-24
32
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Martin Truex Jr
19
Toyota
7
9
0
Running
+6
3
9.7%
25.4%
37.8%
64.8%
Ross Chastain
1
Chevrolet
8
10
0
Running
0
10
5.7%
17.2%
28.0%
54.6%
Ryan Preece
41
Ford
31
11
0
Running
-14
25
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Todd Gilliland
38
Ford
16
12
0
Running
-10
22
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Erik Jones
43
Toyota
32
13
0
Running
-14
27
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Harrison Burton
21
Ford
27
14
0
Running
-19
33
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Michael McDowell
34
Ford
25
15
0
Running
-6
21
0.0%
0.6%
5.2%
20.2%
Ty Gibbs
54
Toyota
18
16
0
Running
0
16
0.2%
5.4%
12.8%
35.1%
Carson Hocevar
77
Chevrolet
20
17
0
Running
0
17
0.0%
3.1%
9.5%
29.5%
Chase Elliott
9
Chevrolet
1
18
0
Running
+11
7
8.4%
22.7%
34.6%
61.6%
Austin Cindric
2
Ford
29
19
0
Running
-9
28
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ty Dillon
16
Chevrolet
36
20
0
Running
-16
36
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Daniel Suarez
99
Chevrolet
11
21
0
Running
+3
18
0.0%
2.9%
9.1%
28.8%
Kaz Grala
15
Ford
35
22
0
Running
-12
34
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Corey Lajoie
7
Chevrolet
26
23
0
Running
-7
30
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Denny Hamlin
11
Toyota
14
24
0
Running
+23
1
13.0%
31.9%
45.4%
71.9%
Ryan Blaney
12
Ford
2
25
0
Running
+20
5
9.6%
25.1%
37.5%
64.5%
William Byron
24
Chevrolet
3
26
0
Running
+17
9
7.0%
19.8%
31.2%
58.0%
Noah Gragson
10
Ford
21
27
0
Running
+7
20
0.0%
0.7%
5.3%
20.3%
Brad Keselowski
6
Ford
9
28
0
Running
+26
2
11.3%
28.5%
41.5%
68.3%
Justin Haley
51
Ford
24
29
0
Running
+3
26
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Zane Smith
71
Chevrolet
34
30
1
Running
+1
29
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Daniel Hemric
31
Chevrolet
33
31
2
Running
-4
35
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Joey Logano
22
Ford
6
32
3
Running
+24
8
7.0%
19.9%
31.3%
58.2%
Austin Dillon
3
Chevrolet
22
33
37
Accident
+2
31
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Bubba Wallace
23
Toyota
17
34
40
Accident
+22
12
2.1%
9.8%
18.7%
43.5%
Kyle Busch
8
Chevrolet
30
35
83
Accident
+12
23
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Alex Bowman
48
Chevrolet
5
36
163
Engine
+23
13
2.0%
9.5%
18.3%
43.0%