AccuPredict Driver Projection Results

NASCAR Xfinity Series

This is a historical results' page analyzing Accupredict's accuracy in driver projections. A novel idea, right? Checking how accurate an experts projections are.

Ryan Ellis

5 Xfinity Series races with projected and actual finish position for Ryan Ellis are available.

Averaged statistics of all Xfinity Series race projections Accupredict has made for Ryan Ellis.

FINISH 25.80
Rank 30.00
Rank +/- -4.20
Projected 25.35
Projected +/- 0.45

Tracks

Track Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Darlington Raceway 1 35.00 24.00 11.00 23.12 11.88
Las Vegas Motor Speedway 1 13.00 38.00 -25.00 29.57 -16.57
Martinsville Speedway 1 23.00 37.00 -14.00 30.51 -7.51
Mid Ohio Sports Car Course 1 28.00 26.00 2.00 21.73 6.27
Road America 1 30.00 25.00 5.00 21.81 8.19
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Track Types

Type Races Description AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Flat 1 The 'Flat' NASCAR tracks are Indianapolis, Martinsville, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Pocono and Richmond. We originally grouped Indianapolis and Pocono as 'Shallow' Tracks. But, the pair provided little statistical data at only three races per year. Therefore, we grouped them into the 'Flat' Tracks category. As a result, we found that results for eight-race averages show improvement in all Flat Track correlations. Pocono in particular is better correlated with this new grouping of Flat Tracks. 23.00 37.00 -14.00 30.51 -7.51
Road Course 2 The 'Road Course' NASCAR tracks are unique from all other tracks as well as each other. Still, we choose to group them together for statistical comparisons. 29.00 25.50 3.50 21.77 7.23
Steep 2 The 'Steep' NASCAR tracks are Bristol, Darlington, Dover, Homestead-Miami and Las Vegas. 24.00 31.00 -7.00 26.35 -2.35
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Seasons

Season Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
2022 1 13.00 38.00 -25.00 29.57 -16.57
2021 4 29.00 28.00 1.00 24.29 4.71
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