Accupredict Driver Finish Projections

Accupredict driver finish projections for the upcoming race. It ain't rocket science. But it's pretty darn close!

The Difference between AP Finish & Rank?

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Accupredict Performance History at this Track and Track Type

Rockingham Speedway
  • 0 races
  • winners picked
  • correct top-10's
  • Avg 0.00 positions off
  • 0.00 std dev off
  • 0 drivers evaluated
Steep Track Group
  • 10 races
  • 2 winners picked
  • 69 correct top-10's
  • Avg 0.33 positions off
  • 7.50 std dev off
  • 340 drivers evaluated

Sleepers / Under-ranked Contenders

Ideal for DFS pivots, fantasy sleepers, or value betting plays. These drivers are ranked outside the Top-10 in AP projections, but their historical Driver Rating at this track suggests they could finish much better.

There are not any drivers that are currently rated a Sleeper / Under-ranked Contender.

Potential Top-20 Breakouts

Could be a sneaky DFS Value Pick or Long Shot Top-10 Bet. These drivers are currently ranked outside the Top-20 but have a strong statistical chance to outperform their ranking.

Spencer Boyd

Spencer Boyd


AP Rank: 29th

Variance: +9 spots

Projected Finish: 20.05


Nathan Byrd

Nathan Byrd


AP Rank: 31st

Variance: +11 spots

Projected Finish: 20.45


Cody Dennison

Cody Dennison


AP Rank: 30th

Variance: +10 spots

Projected Finish: 20.21


Justin Carroll

Justin Carroll


AP Rank: 33rd

Variance: +12 spots

Projected Finish: 21.91


Frankie Muniz

Frankie Muniz


AP Rank: 32nd

Variance: +11 spots

Projected Finish: 21.18


Norm Benning

Norm Benning


AP Rank: 34th

Variance: +12 spots

Projected Finish: 22.68


Stephen Mallozzi

Stephen Mallozzi


AP Rank: 35th

Variance: +11 spots

Projected Finish: 24.18


Metrics Used

BOLD METRICS are currently contributing to projection. 4 of 6 (66.7%) metrics are in use.

  • Qualifying
  • Practice
  • Recent Form
  • YTD Driver Rating
  • Track Type Form
  • Track Driver Rating

Accupredict projections are recalculated as new race metric data is available. (Last updated Monday, April 14th at 8:28pm ET)

VISUAL DRIVER PROJECTION RANGE

A visual breakdown of projected finish positions for each driver.

What This Graph Shows
  • Each bar represents a driver’s projected finish range.
  • Darker bars = More confidence in their position.
  • Wider bars = More uncertainty (larger prediction range).
How to Read This
  • Short Bars → Consistent, reliable drivers.
  • Long Bars → Unpredictable, high variance.
  • Rank Order → Sorted by best projected finish.
Your Strategy
  • Short-range drivers: More reliable picks for DFS & betting.
  • Long-range drivers: Higher risk, bigger upside.

Black's Tire 200

Friday, April 18th, 2025

Rockingham Speedway , Rockingham, NC

Rockingham Speedway logo

Manufacturer Projected Odds

MAKE IN RACE ODDS TO WIN PCT TO WIN
Chevrolet 18 +300 25%
Ford 10 +150 37%
Toyota 7 +150 38%
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