AccuPredict Driver Projection Results

NASCAR Cup Series

This is a historical results' page analyzing Accupredict's accuracy in driver projections. A novel idea, right? Checking how accurate an experts projections are.

Ryan Blaney

View CUP Series Statistics driver page.

282 Cup Series races with projected and actual finish positions are available for Ryan Blaney.

Averaged statistics of all race projections Accupredict has made for Ryan Blaney.

FINISH 15.07
Rank 10.60
Rank +/- 4.47
Projected 13.98
Projected +/- 1.08

Tracks

Track Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Atlanta Motor Speedway 10 11.60 12.20 -0.60 15.13 -3.53
Auto Club Speedway 7 17.14 9.14 8.00 13.74 3.40
Bristol Motor Speedway 14 18.57 10.07 8.50 13.93 4.64
Bristol Motor Speedway (Dirt) 2 6.50 9.00 -2.50 13.91 -7.41
Charlotte Motor Speedway 12 19.75 13.67 6.08 15.71 4.04
Charlotte Motor Speedway Road Course 5 9.80 7.20 2.60 12.22 -2.42
Chicagoland Speedway 4 9.75 11.50 -1.75 13.73 -3.98
Circuit of The Americas 2 11.50 4.50 7.00 11.35 0.15
Darlington Raceway 12 18.58 12.08 6.50 14.69 3.90
Daytona International Speedway 16 17.50 9.75 7.75 14.90 2.60
Daytona Road Course 2 23.00 15.00 8.00 16.18 6.82
Dover International Speedway 12 19.50 12.33 7.17 14.55 4.95
Homestead Miami Speedway 8 18.63 13.88 4.75 15.66 2.96
Indianapolis Motor Speedway 6 20.17 14.17 6.00 15.62 4.55
Indianapolis Motor Speedway Road Course 2 14.00 4.00 10.00 12.05 1.95
Kansas Speedway 15 15.73 8.87 6.87 12.83 2.90
Kentucky Speedway 5 13.20 11.80 1.40 14.02 -0.82
Las Vegas Motor Speedway 14 12.43 10.00 2.43 14.14 -1.71
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum 1 17.00 18.00 -1.00 17.31 -0.31
Martinsville Speedway 14 9.71 8.71 1.00 13.04 -3.33
Michigan International Speedway 14 14.50 11.79 2.71 14.07 0.43
Nashville Superspeedway 2 20.50 8.00 12.50 13.24 7.26
New Hampshire Motor Speedway 10 12.80 11.50 1.30 14.28 -1.48
Phoenix Raceway 15 11.93 7.47 4.47 12.35 -0.41
Pocono Raceway 13 13.23 11.08 2.15 13.78 -0.55
Richmond Raceway 13 20.15 13.00 7.15 15.48 4.68
Road America 2 15.50 8.00 7.50 12.72 2.78
Sonoma Raceway 6 14.17 12.50 1.67 14.87 -0.71
Talladega Superspeedway 17 16.00 10.71 5.29 14.81 1.19
Texas Motor Speedway 16 13.94 10.00 3.94 13.65 0.29
Watkins Glen International 6 13.67 13.17 0.50 15.61 -1.94
World Wide Technology Raceway 1 4.00 1.00 3.00 10.46 -6.46

Track Types

Type Races Description AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
Flat 74 The 'Flat' NASCAR tracks are Indianapolis, Martinsville, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Pocono and Richmond. We originally grouped Indianapolis and Pocono as 'Shallow' Tracks. But, the pair provided little statistical data at only three races per year. Therefore, we grouped them into the 'Flat' Tracks category. As a result, we found that results for eight-race averages show improvement in all Flat Track correlations. Pocono in particular is better correlated with this new grouping of Flat Tracks. 14.09 10.32 3.77 13.80 0.29
Large Oval 83 The 'Large Oval' NASCAR tracks are Atlanta, California, Charlotte, Chicago, Kansas, Kentucky, Michigan and Texas. This grouping of tracks show a fairly tight clustering of the curves and improved correlations for each of the member tracks with average finishes over other groupings these tracks get placed in. 14.94 11.00 3.94 14.08 0.86
Restrictor Plate 33 The 'Tapered Spacer' (aka 'Restrictor Plate') NASCAR tracks are Daytona and Talladega. The restrictor plate is gone, but the combination of tapered spacer, larger spoiler, larger splitter and aero ducts give us the same close pack racing. 16.73 10.24 6.48 14.85 1.87
Road Course 25 The 'Road Course' NASCAR tracks are unique from all other tracks as well as each other. Still, we choose to group them together for statistical comparisons. 13.76 10.12 3.64 13.94 -0.18
Steep 63 The 'Steep' NASCAR tracks are Bristol, Darlington, Dover, Homestead-Miami and Las Vegas. 16.98 11.44 5.54 14.51 2.47

Seasons

Season Races AVG FIN AVG RNK RNK +/- AVG PRJ PRJ +/-
2023 6 12.17 5.83 6.33 12.82 -0.65
2022 37 13.32 5.65 7.68 12.23 1.10
2021 37 11.76 8.11 3.65 12.33 -0.57
2020 37 13.65 8.24 5.41 12.60 1.05
2019 36 13.75 9.89 3.86 13.96 -0.21
2018 36 14.83 9.56 5.28 13.67 1.17
2017 36 17.25 12.11 5.14 14.56 2.69
2016 36 18.50 17.47 1.03 17.40 1.10
2015 16 25.31 21.75 3.56 20.26 5.06
2014 1 22.00 27.00 -5.00 22.20 -0.20