Accupredict Performance : Toyota / Save Mart 350
Accupredict driver finish projection results. It ain't rocket science. But it's pretty darn close!
Toyota / Save Mart 350
Sonoma Raceway , Sonoma, CA
Manufacturer Projected Odds
MAKE
IN RACE
ODDS TO WIN
PCT TO WIN
Chevrolet
16
-150
55.6%
Toyota
9
+300
25.3%
Ford
12
+400
19.1%
-
16
-
12
-
9
Accupredict Performance Analysis
Top-10 Accuracy
4 / 10
40% of projected Top-10 drivers actually finished there
Top-20 Accuracy
16 / 20
80% of projected Top-20 drivers actually finished there
Driver
NAME
CAR #
MAKE
Race Results
START
FINISH
LAPS BHND
STATUS
AP Projections
OFF-BY
RANKED
WIN
TOP-3
TOP-5
TOP-10
Shane van Gisbergen
88
Chevrolet
1
1
0
Running
-12
13
2.4%
10.5%
19.4%
43.1%
Chase Briscoe
19
Toyota
2
2
0
Running
-13
15
1.8%
9.3%
17.9%
41.1%
Chase Elliott
9
Chevrolet
13
3
0
Running
+1
2
10.6%
25.8%
37.3%
62.3%
Michael McDowell
71
Chevrolet
15
4
0
Running
-13
17
0.0%
5.4%
12.9%
34.1%
Christopher Bell
20
Toyota
10
5
0
Running
-1
6
8.9%
22.6%
33.7%
58.8%
Tyler Reddick
45
Toyota
8
6
0
Running
+2
4
9.6%
24.0%
35.2%
60.3%
Ty Gibbs
54
Toyota
6
7
0
Running
-7
14
2.1%
10.0%
18.8%
42.2%
William Byron
24
Chevrolet
3
8
0
Running
+1
7
8.8%
22.5%
33.6%
58.7%
Joey Logano
22
Ford
22
9
0
Running
-3
12
2.6%
11.0%
20.0%
43.8%
Kyle Busch
8
Chevrolet
17
10
0
Running
-6
16
1.5%
8.7%
17.1%
40.1%
Brad Keselowski
6
Ford
21
11
0
Running
-11
22
0.0%
1.1%
6.4%
22.1%
Ryan Preece
60
Ford
20
12
0
Running
-6
18
0.0%
3.3%
9.9%
29.2%
Josh Berry
21
Ford
25
13
0
Running
-14
27
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Daniel Suarez
99
Chevrolet
19
14
0
Running
-5
19
0.0%
3.3%
9.9%
29.1%
Justin Haley
7
Chevrolet
29
15
0
Running
-20
35
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Chris Buescher
17
Ford
14
16
0
Running
+8
8
7.1%
19.4%
30.0%
55.1%
Ty Dillon
10
Chevrolet
26
17
0
Running
-16
33
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
AJ Allmendinger
16
Chevrolet
5
18
0
Running
+9
9
6.5%
18.3%
28.8%
53.8%
Alex Bowman
48
Chevrolet
9
19
0
Running
+9
10
3.2%
12.1%
21.3%
45.4%
Denny Hamlin
11
Toyota
16
20
0
Running
+9
11
2.9%
11.5%
20.6%
44.5%
Austin Dillon
3
Chevrolet
33
21
0
Running
-9
30
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Todd Gilliland
34
Ford
35
22
0
Running
-10
32
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Cole Custer
41
Ford
27
23
0
Running
-5
28
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ross Chastain
1
Chevrolet
4
24
0
Running
+21
3
9.8%
24.4%
35.7%
60.7%
Riley Herbst
35
Toyota
28
25
0
Running
-6
31
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Bubba Wallace
23
Toyota
30
26
0
Running
+1
25
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Zane Smith
38
Ford
12
27
0
Running
+7
20
0.0%
1.9%
7.8%
25.3%
John Hunter Nemechek
42
Toyota
18
28
0
Running
+4
24
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Erik Jones
43
Toyota
31
29
0
Running
+3
26
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Austin Cindric
2
Ford
24
30
0
Running
+9
21
0.0%
1.6%
7.2%
24.0%
Katherine Legge
78
Chevrolet
37
31
0
Running
-5
36
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Carson Hocevar
77
Chevrolet
23
32
0
Running
+9
23
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ricky Stenhouse Jr
47
Chevrolet
34
33
0
Running
-1
34
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Cody Ware
51
Ford
36
34
2
Running
-3
37
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kyle Larson
5
Chevrolet
11
35
2
Running
+34
1
12.8%
29.8%
41.8%
66.4%
Ryan Blaney
12
Ford
7
36
4
Accident
+31
5
9.4%
23.6%
34.8%
59.9%
Noah Gragson
4
Ford
32
37
11
Accident
+8
29
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%