Accupredict Performance : Food City 500
Accupredict driver finish projection results. It ain't rocket science. But it's pretty darn close!
Manufacturer Projected Odds
MAKE
IN RACE
ODDS TO WIN
PCT TO WIN
Toyota
9
-100
52%
Chevrolet
16
+200
35%
Ford
14
+700
12%
Accupredict Performance Analysis
Top-10 Accuracy
5 / 10
50% of projected Top-10 drivers actually finished there
Top-20 Accuracy
15 / 20
75% of projected Top-20 drivers actually finished there
Top-5 Accuracy
3 / 5
60% of projected Top-5 drivers actually finished there
Driver
NAME
CAR #
MAKE
Race Results
START
FINISH
LAPS BHND
STATUS
AP Projections
OFF-BY
FINISH
WIN
TOP-3
TOP-5
TOP-10
Kyle Larson
5
Chevrolet
3
1
0
Running
-1
2
19.9%
43.9%
57.9%
83.7%
Denny Hamlin
11
Toyota
4
2
0
Running
+1
1
21.2%
46.1%
60.3%
85.7%
Ty Gibbs
54
Toyota
6
3
0
Running
-9
12
0.0%
6.5%
15.1%
38.9%
Chase Briscoe
19
Toyota
14
4
0
Running
-4
8
2.0%
10.7%
20.4%
46.3%
Ryan Blaney
12
Ford
5
5
0
Running
0
5
12.7%
30.9%
43.7%
71.3%
William Byron
24
Chevrolet
26
6
0
Running
-5
11
0.9%
8.4%
17.4%
42.3%
Ross Chastain
1
Chevrolet
35
7
0
Running
-14
21
0.0%
0.8%
6.5%
23.1%
Christopher Bell
20
Toyota
7
8
0
Running
+5
3
14.1%
33.5%
46.5%
73.9%
AJ Allmendinger
16
Chevrolet
8
9
1
Running
-10
19
0.0%
2.2%
8.8%
28.3%
Austin Dillon
3
Chevrolet
17
10
1
Running
-12
22
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Carson Hocevar
77
Chevrolet
9
11
1
Running
-9
20
0.0%
1.3%
7.5%
25.4%
Josh Berry
21
Ford
11
12
1
Running
-11
23
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Justin Haley
7
Chevrolet
10
13
1
Running
-12
25
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kyle Busch
8
Chevrolet
15
14
1
Running
+7
7
3.4%
13.4%
23.7%
50.4%
Chase Elliott
9
Chevrolet
20
15
1
Running
+9
6
9.7%
25.5%
37.7%
65.5%
Brad Keselowski
6
Ford
16
16
2
Running
+6
10
1.5%
9.8%
19.2%
44.8%
Austin Cindric
2
Ford
21
17
2
Running
+2
15
0.0%
4.4%
12.1%
34.3%
Tyler Reddick
45
Toyota
27
18
2
Running
+4
14
0.0%
4.9%
12.9%
35.6%
Bubba Wallace
23
Toyota
22
19
2
Running
+10
9
1.8%
10.3%
19.9%
45.7%
Ryan Preece
60
Ford
29
20
2
Running
-4
24
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
John Hunter Nemechek
42
Toyota
32
21
2
Running
-8
29
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ricky Stenhouse Jr
47
Chevrolet
2
22
2
Running
+4
18
0.0%
2.8%
9.8%
30.2%
Noah Gragson
4
Ford
31
23
2
Running
-5
28
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Joey Logano
22
Ford
38
24
3
Running
+7
17
0.0%
3.9%
11.4%
33.1%
Chris Buescher
17
Ford
24
25
3
Running
+12
13
0.0%
5.5%
13.6%
36.7%
Erik Jones
43
Toyota
28
26
3
Running
-5
31
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Zane Smith
38
Ford
18
27
3
Running
-3
30
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Riley Herbst
35
Toyota
25
28
4
Running
-7
35
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Cole Custer
41
Ford
33
29
5
Running
-3
32
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Michael McDowell
71
Chevrolet
13
30
5
Running
+14
16
0.0%
4.0%
11.6%
33.3%
Jesse Love
33
Chevrolet
19
31
5
Running
+4
27
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ty Dillon
10
Chevrolet
12
32
6
Running
-1
33
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Daniel Suarez
99
Chevrolet
23
33
6
Running
+7
26
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Corey Lajoie
1
Ford
37
34
6
Running
-3
37
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Todd Gilliland
34
Ford
30
35
7
Running
+1
34
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Cody Ware
51
Ford
34
36
7
Running
-2
38
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Alex Bowman
48
Chevrolet
1
37
157
Engine
+33
4
12.8%
31.2%
44.0%
71.5%
Shane van Gisbergen
88
Chevrolet
36
38
292
Suspension
+2
36
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Josh Bilicki
66
Ford
39
39
307
Electrical
0
39
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%