Accupredict Performance : Toyota / Save Mart 350
Accupredict driver finish projection results. It ain't rocket science. But it's pretty darn close!
Toyota / Save Mart 350
Sonoma Raceway , Sonoma, CA
Manufacturer Projected Odds
MAKE
IN RACE
ODDS TO WIN
PCT TO WIN
Chevrolet
15
+150
43.1%
Ford
15
+250
30.8%
Toyota
8
+300
26.1%
-
15
-
15
-
8
Accupredict Performance Analysis
Top-10 Accuracy
6 / 10
60% of projected Top-10 drivers actually finished there
Top-20 Accuracy
14 / 20
70% of projected Top-20 drivers actually finished there
Driver
NAME
CAR #
MAKE
Race Results
START
FINISH
LAPS BHND
STATUS
AP Projections
OFF-BY
RANKED
WIN
TOP-3
TOP-5
TOP-10
Kyle Larson
5
Chevrolet
5
1
0
Running
-7
8
6.6%
6.2%
5.8%
5.4%
Michael McDowell
34
Ford
12
2
0
Running
-17
19
0.0%
0.8%
1.8%
2.7%
Chris Buescher
17
Ford
26
3
0
Running
-6
9
5.7%
5.7%
5.5%
5.2%
Chase Elliott
9
Chevrolet
4
4
0
Running
-1
5
7.8%
6.9%
6.3%
5.7%
Ross Chastain
1
Chevrolet
9
5
0
Running
+3
2
11.8%
9.2%
7.8%
6.4%
AJ Allmendinger
16
Chevrolet
11
6
0
Running
-7
13
3.1%
4.1%
4.4%
4.6%
Ryan Blaney
12
Ford
3
7
0
Running
+4
3
10.7%
8.6%
7.4%
6.2%
Tyler Reddick
45
Toyota
2
8
0
Running
+1
7
7.0%
6.5%
6.0%
5.5%
Christopher Bell
20
Toyota
15
9
0
Running
-5
14
1.7%
3.2%
3.7%
4.2%
Todd Gilliland
38
Ford
14
10
0
Running
-11
21
0.0%
0.3%
1.3%
2.2%
Corey Lajoie
7
Chevrolet
17
11
0
Running
-15
26
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kyle Busch
8
Chevrolet
29
12
0
Running
-3
15
1.1%
2.8%
3.4%
4.0%
Brad Keselowski
6
Ford
35
13
0
Running
-4
17
0.0%
1.4%
2.3%
3.2%
Daniel Suarez
99
Chevrolet
7
14
0
Running
-2
16
0.5%
2.4%
3.1%
3.8%
Alex Bowman
48
Chevrolet
8
15
0
Running
+5
10
5.2%
5.4%
5.2%
5.1%
Zane Smith
71
Chevrolet
20
16
0
Running
-20
36
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Carson Hocevar
77
Chevrolet
13
17
0
Running
-3
20
0.0%
0.6%
1.6%
2.5%
Ryan Preece
41
Ford
30
18
0
Running
-6
24
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Erik Jones
43
Toyota
38
19
0
Running
-12
31
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Bubba Wallace
23
Toyota
18
20
0
Running
-2
22
0.0%
0.3%
1.2%
2.2%
Joey Logano
22
Ford
1
21
0
Running
+20
1
14.3%
10.7%
8.8%
6.8%
Austin Cindric
2
Ford
28
22
0
Running
-3
25
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Kaz Grala
15
Ford
36
23
0
Running
-14
37
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ricky Stenhouse Jr
47
Chevrolet
33
24
0
Running
-11
35
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Harrison Burton
21
Ford
22
25
0
Running
-7
32
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Noah Gragson
10
Ford
19
26
0
Running
+3
23
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Martin Truex Jr
19
Toyota
21
27
0
Running
+16
11
4.3%
4.8%
4.9%
4.9%
Daniel Hemric
31
Chevrolet
34
28
1
Running
-10
38
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
John Hunter Nemechek
42
Toyota
37
29
1
Running
+1
28
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
William Byron
24
Chevrolet
6
30
2
Running
+24
6
7.1%
6.5%
6.0%
5.5%
Will Brown
33
Chevrolet
24
31
3
Running
+4
27
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Josh Berry
4
Ford
32
32
15
Suspension
-1
33
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Justin Haley
51
Ford
27
33
22
Steering
+4
29
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Chase Briscoe
14
Ford
23
34
37
Transmission
+16
18
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
2.9%
Cam Waters
60
Ford
31
35
44
Accident
+5
30
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Austin Dillon
3
Chevrolet
16
36
71
DVP
+2
34
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
Ty Gibbs
54
Toyota
10
37
94
DVP
+33
4
9.9%
8.1%
7.1%
6.1%
Denny Hamlin
11
Toyota
25
38
108
Engine
+26
12
3.3%
4.2%
4.4%
4.7%