Quick note: I’m running a little behind my normal preseason schedule, but FRCS is very much alive and moving forward.

FRCS has always been a one-person project, and that hasn’t changed. I’m actively working on updates and fixes, though I’m a bit behind my usual preseason pace this year.

If you encounter an issue with a tool or a subscription, please know it will be addressed. Thank you for your patience as the season gets underway.

— Darren Fauth

DRAFTKINGS Points by Track at Daytona International Speedway

Explore detailed driver averages for various performance metrics, including start position, finish position, place differential points, fast lap points, laps led points, total points, and rank. Additionally, dive into the charts that showcase individual metric points distribution for each driver, as well as their floor and ceiling performances.

Graphs? Recommendations? Yeah, I got 'em.

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Ceiling, Average, and Floor Points Chart

The Ceiling, Average, and Floor Points chart provides a comprehensive view of each driver's performance metrics in DraftKings contests. This chart helps you evaluate drivers based on their potential for high scores, consistency, and risk levels. Below the chart is an overview and my dynamic analysis of the current data.

Chart Overview
  • Driver Names: The x-axis (horizonal one) lists the drivers using the format 'First Initial. Last Name'.
  • Points: The y-axis represents the points scored by the drivers.
  • Ceiling Points (Green Bars): The maximum points a driver has scored in the selected races. Indicates the driver's highest potential performance.
  • Average Points (Black Bars): The average points a driver has scored across the selected races. Reflects the driver's typical performance level.
  • Floor Point (Red Bars): The minimum points a driver has scored in the selected races. Shows the driver's lowest performance and associated risk.

Draftkings Line-up Recommendations and Uses from this Chart

  1. Identifying High Potential Drivers
    • Look for drivers with high Ceiling Points. These drivers have shown the capability to achieve high scores in at least one race.
    • DENNY HAMLIN has the highest ceiling points, he has the potential to be a top performer.
  2. Evaluating for Drivers with Consistency:
    • Compare the Average Points of the drivers. Drivers with higher average points are generally more consistent performers.
    • JOHN HUNTER NEMECHEK has high average points, indicating a reliable and steady performance.
  3. Assessing High and Low Risk Levels:
    • Check the Floor Points to understand the risk associated with each driver. Drivers with higher floor points are less risky as they have not scored very low in the selected races.
    • AUSTIN HILL has relatively high floor points, suggesting lower risk compared to other drivers.
  4. Balancing Risk and Reward:
    • Use the chart to balance drivers in your lineup. Include a mix of high ceiling (high potential) drivers and high floor (low risk) drivers.
    • Combine drivers like KYLE BUSCH (high ceiling, high risk) with CODY WARE (high average, low risk) to optimize your lineup.
An Example Use Case

In preparing for a DraftKings contest at Daytona International Speedway, you notice that AJ ALLMENDINGER has a ceiling of 67.65 points but also a floor of -26.55 points. This indicates he has a high potential but comes with significant risk. On the other hand, Brennan Poole has a ceiling of 49.50 points and a floor of -1.20 points, making him a safer choice. One strategy is to include both drivers in your lineup, balancing the high potential of Allmendinger with the reliability of Poole.

In a 50/50 or Double Up contest, where you only need to finish in the top half to win, you might favor including more reliable drivers like Poole and similar close floor/ceiling drivers in your lineup to minimize risk. Their higher floor points convey a more consistent performance, helping you to secure a win.

Conversely, in a Tournament or GPP contest, where the payout structure rewards the top finishers, you might include drivers like Allmendinger and similar high ceiling drivers who have the potential to achieve high scores but come with greater risk. Balancing your lineup with both high-risk, high-reward drivers and reliable performers can maximize your chances of securing a top spot and winning big.

This use case is generated dynamically from rules I've applied to parse the data and extract these suggestions. In come cases a low-scoring driver is recommended because of their close Floor and Ceiling difference. In this situation, use the same logic to see if other higher-scoring drivers could be a better fit.

Practical Tips for Using the Chart
  1. Race-Specific Strategy:
    • Use the chart to develop strategies specific to the track and race type. Analyze how drivers have performed in similar conditions to predict future performance.
  2. Adjust for Latest Trends:
    • Regularly update your analysis based on the latest races. Performance trends can change, and staying current will give you an edge.
  3. Complement with Other Data:
    • Combine insights from this chart with other data points like practice speeds, qualifying positions, and recent performance trends for a comprehensive analysis.
  4. Diversify Your Lineup:
    • Avoid putting all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your lineup to mitigate risk and increase the chances of a strong overall performance.
Conclusion

The Ceiling, Average, and Floor Points chart is a powerful tool to help you make informed decisions in DraftKings contests. By understanding each driver's performance metrics, you can optimize your lineup for both high potential and consistency. Use this chart in conjunction with other data to develop a well-rounded strategy and gain a competitive edge.

Average Points Chart

The Average Points chart provides an overview of the average fantasy points scored by each driver over a series of races. This chart helps you identify which drivers consistently perform well in terms of fantasy points, offering valuable insights into their reliability and overall performance.

How to Interpret the Chart
  1. High Average Points:
    • Drivers with high average fantasy points are generally more reliable and consistent performers. They have consistently scored well across multiple races, making them strong contenders for your lineup.
  2. Consistency:
    • The average points indicate the typical performance level of each driver. A higher average suggests that the driver regularly accumulates substantial fantasy points.
  3. Comparison:
    • Use the chart to compare different drivers' average points. This comparison helps you make informed decisions about which drivers to prioritize in your lineup based on their historical performance.
Practical Tips for Using the Chart
  1. Building a Balanced Lineup:
    • Use the chart to identify reliable drivers with high average points for your lineup. These drivers provide a stable foundation, reducing the overall risk.
  2. Strategic Selections:
    • Combine insights from this chart with other data points such as qualifying positions, practice speeds, and race-specific trends. This comprehensive analysis helps in making strategic selections for different types of contests.

Showing results from Daytona International Speedway