AccuPredict Driver Projection Results

NASCAR Cup Series

This is a historical results' page analyzing Accupredict's accuracy in driver projections. A novel idea, right? Checking how accurate an experts projections are.

Duck Commander 500 @ Texas Motor Speedway

Race #7 of the 2015 NASCAR Cup Series Season - April 11th, 2015.

Picked Race Winner? NO

TOP-10

70%

TOP-20

75%

MID-TIER

30%

LOW-TIER

77%

Driver	FIN	RNK	RNK +/-	PRJ FIN	PRJ +/-
AJ Allmendinger	21	23	-2	21.34	-0.34
Alex Bowman	33	34	-1	28.68	4.32
Alex Kennedy	37	42	-5	34.82	2.18
Aric Almirola	19	27	-8	22.36	-3.36
Austin Dillon	20	19	1	19.06	0.94

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View Accupredict's Projection History Performance by a helpful variety of groupings to better identify the tracks and drivers that it projects the best.

Accupredict Pages

Accupredict is my exclusive NASCAR driver finish position projection tool for Crew Chief and Owner subscribers. The projection algorithm is the work of research scientist Cliff DeJong using traditional and loop data statistics. I've had it online since the 2012 Daytona 500.

NASCAR CUP SERIES

NASCAR XFINITY SERIES

ACCUPREDICT ARTICLES by Cliff DeJong

The driver, track and race links in the tables link to more historical Accupredict data.

USING ABSOLUTE VALUES

6.07 Mean (Average) number of positions 'off' that the projections were.

5.00 Median (the middle number when all are sorted, descending) number of 'positions off' that the projections were. Median helps account for outliers in the sequence that might skew the Mean with such a small population of data.

5.31 Standard Deviation measures the dispersion of each driver 'positions off' in relationship to the Mean (Average).