Categories
Fantasy NASCAR

2014 Bristol Motor Speedway, Irwin Tools Night Race

Jeff Gordon won his third race of the season at Michigan last week and looks like a strong contender for this year’s championship. The win ties him with Jimmie Johnson, Dale Earnhardt Jr., and Brad Keselowski for most wins on the season with only three races left until the Chase starts. Kyle Larson dropped out of the last Chase spot after a disappointing last place finish and now Greg Biffle and Kasey Kahne are fighting for the last Chase spot to go by points. If we get another different winner in the next three races, that spot will vanish.

IRWIN TOOLS NIGHT RACE

This week the series heads back to Bristol Motor Speedway for the running of the Irwin Tools Night Race. This Saturday night race is one of my favorites of the year and always has a lot of excitement in it. This is also a track where we could see the thirteenth different winner on the season.

Bristol is a slightly longer than half-mile high banked track that the drivers can get around in about fifteen seconds. Qualifying is important at this track because you want to get a good pit stall. The pits are located all the way around the track and your pit stall location could be the difference between winning and losing this race.

Jeff Gordon: I am picking Jeff to win his fourth race of the season this week. Jeff has five career wins at this track and the way he has been running lately, it is hard to pick against him. This team is hitting on all cylinders right now and that is exactly where you want to be as we close in on the Chase. Every bonus point will come in handy once the Chase starts also.

Kyle Busch: Kyle also has five career wins at Bristol and would like to come away with a great finish this week after hitting the wall very early in the race at Michigan last week which lead to a dismal finish for him. Kyle has the mentality to win at Bristol where trading paint is the name of the game. If they can start towards the front of the field he will have a great shot at winning this race.

Kurt Busch: Kurt is another driver with five wins at this track and I think that with his new team he should have a car that is good enough for him to get back to victory lane once again this season. Look for Kurt to be in contention at the end of this race if they can stay out of trouble early in the race. Small mistakes are huge at this track because you can find yourself down multiple laps in a hurry if you have a penalty on pit road.

Brad Keselowski: Brad has won twice here in only nine starts and he loves this type of racing where you can trade a little paint if you need to move someone out of your way as you work your way through traffic. If you go to Bristol with this mind set you will be successful more often than not. Brad never seems to get too upset when someone bumps him when they are racing hard and knows that he can do the same.

Carl Edwards: Carl won the race here in March and this is the type of track that this team has been good at this season. They have really struggled on the intermediate tracks, but have been very good on the short tracks. Carl could very well pick up his third short track win of the season and gain some valuable bonus points for the Chase. However, if they want to have a real shot at winning the championship this year they will have to correct the problems they have on those intermediate tracks.

Greg Biffle: Greg has never won a race at Bristol in the Sprint Cup series, but he has had some very good cars and very bad luck during the races here. Instead of worrying if he can make the Chase on points he would just love to get the win here this weekend. If this team can stay close to the front and have a flawless pit stop late in the race they should have a good chance of getting that win.

Matt Kenseth: Matt won this race last year which gave him three career victories at this track. Matt should make the Chase on points without a win, but they would like to get that win for the bonus point. A win would also give this team some confidence as we near the Chase. You are going to have to win races during the Chase to win the championship and those who have wins going in know that they can finish races.

Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Dale has one win at Bristol and has finished in the top ten in almost half of his starts here. This team looks good every week on all types of tracks. They will have a great chance at winning the championship the way they are going about business this season and I think they will win at least one more race this season.

Jimmie Johnson: Jimmie has struggled for the past couple of months with mechanical problems that has taken them out of races. I think this is the type of track that this team will be able to turn their fortunes around at this weekend. I don’t think we will see a lot of tire issues this weekend which is something that has really plagued this team lately.

Kevin Harvick: Kevin has one career win at Bristol, but he has only one top ten finish here in his last eleven starts. However, the way this team has brought a fast car to the track every week this season, I think they will be a contender once again this weekend. All they need is for all the cautions to fall right for them just like every other team.

YAHOO! FANTASY NASCAR PICKS FOR BRISTOL MOTOR SPEEDWAY

Yahoo Driver Group A

  • Jeff Gordon
  • Kyle Busch

Yahoo Driver Group B

  • Carl Edwards
  • Greg Biffle
  • Brad Keselowski
  • Marcos Ambrose

Yahoo Driver Group C

  • Jeff Burton (tentative)
  • Austin Dillon

MY TOP-5 OVERALL AT BRISTOL MOTOR SPEEDWAY

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Carl Edwards
  5. Brad Keselowski

Dark Horse: Marcos Ambrose

Stay Away From: Brian Vickers

Categories
Fantasy NASCAR NASCAR Fantasy Live

NASCAR Fantasy Live Picks, 2014 Michigan, Pure Michigan 400

Once the red flag cleared and the dust settled at Watkins Glen, we saw some exciting action in the closing laps between AJ Allmendinger and Marcus Ambrose. Allmendinger’s win translates to one less available spot for drivers without a 2014 victory. They only have four races to secure their spot in the playoffs. Michigan is a fast track and a challenging one to pick a fantasy lineup. There are many good drivers here, but no great ones. There are multiple directions to choose from, and there will be an opportunity to gain points this week.

My two favorite drivers this week, Kenseth and Harvick, are two of the favorites. Kenseth has not led many laps at Michigan, but has run in the top 15 for 79% of his laps since 2005. Over the last ten August races at Michigan, Kenseth has an eighth place average. Harvick’s team has been one of the best throughout the 2014 season, and he averages a 12th place average over the last ten August races. His team received penalties from Watkins Glen, but should not have much impact on the results. His average finish position is the sixth-best of all drivers at Michigan. As previous stated, there are many directions you can go this week, and starting Keselowski, Logano, Gordon, or Dale Earnhardt Jr. will not hurt your chances.

The third pick on the weekly roster has a great history at Michigan, but has experienced a mediocre season. Greg Biffle was initially off my roster due to his mediocre June performance. I chose Biffle narrowly over Larson or Vickers. Ultimately, Biffle’s performance was too tempting to pass. Biffle has the best average running position and loop data since 2005. He is also second in fast laps and laps led. My expectations for Biffle are to finish between 10th and 15th place with the potential for upside.

There is phenomenal value with some of the budget drivers this week. Justin Allgaier and Danica Patrick should provide value. I like both drivers, and could not choose them due to the salary cap. David Ragan only carries a salary cap value of $10.50. With a 19th place average over the last five August races, Ragan will not be a top driver. However, he will provide great value if gets close to his average. Michael Annett finished in 21st place back in June, and seems to be improving over the summer. Keep an eye on the status of Tony Stewart and Regan Smith. From a pure fantasy perspective, Regan Smith has a $7 valuation and a 21st place average at the track. If Stewart sits, you can substitute Smith and Keselowski for Ragan and Biffle and stay under the salary cap.

FANTASY NASCAR LIVE SALARY CAP

Fantasy Live on Nascar.com combines fast laps, laps led, final position, and start-to-finish position differential. In order to prevent us from simply picking the top drivers every week, Fantasy Live utilizes a salary cap format. The goal is to find value in your picks.

The salary cap formula for this article basically determines how many fantasy points to anticipate from each fantasy dollar you spend. Fantasy Live on nascar.com has a scoring system that includes final position, start-to-finish differential, laps led, and fast laps. With a salary cap format, the system makes sure that we cannot simply start the top drivers every week. In order to identify the value drivers, this formula basically calculates the total number of points earned and divides by the salary cap figure. The final number is the number of fantasy points to expect from each fantasy dollar. Dale Earnhardt Jr. barely missed my roster this week, and we will use his Michigan data for further clarification.

DALE EARNHARDT JR AT MICHIGAN

  • Laps Led during last five August Michigan races: 51 = 5.1 fantasy live points per race
  • Start-to-Finish Differential: Plus 3 = 3 fantasy live points per race
  • Final position: 15th place average = 29 fantasy live points per race
  • Fast laps: Cannot be calculated with 100% accuracy
  • Total number of points per race: 37.1
  • Salary Cap Figure on Fantasy Live: 28
  • Final ranking: 37.1 pointes / 28 dollars = 1.33 points per fantasy dollar

For rookies who have not raced at Michigan in August, we are using their performance for the June race. Ryan Truex and Alex Kennedy have never raced here, so we are using their 2014 season averages to help give you an idea what to expect from them. See this week’s rankings below with highlighted picks in bold:

GROUP A ($25.00 or higher)

  • Clint Bowyer 1.81
  • Kevin Harvick 1.72
  • Kasey Kahne 1.59
  • Carl Edwards 1.57
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr. 1.33
  • Joey Logano 1.28
  • Kurt Busch 1.28
  • Jeff Gordon 1.26
  • Matt Kenseth 1.17
  • Brad Keselowski 1.16
  • Jimmie Johnson 0.89

GROUP B ($20.00 – $24.99)

  • Greg Biffle 2.30
  • Brian Vickers 2.16
  • Austin Dillon 2.02
  • Kyle Larson 1.84
  • Aric Almirola 1.62
  • Marcus Ambrose 1.44
  • Denny Hamlin 1.38
  • Tony Stewart 1.32 **
  • Ryan Newman 1.32
  • Martin Truex Jr. 1.30
  • Paul Menard 0.98
  • Jamie McMurray 0.87
  • Kurt Busch 0.14

GROUP C ($15.00 – $19.99)

  • Justin Allgaier 1.90
  • Danica Patrick 1.73
  • AJ Allmendinger 1.71
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.42
  • Casey Mears 1.24

GROUP D ($10.00 – $14.99)

  • David Ragan 3.09
  • Cole Whitt 2.86
  • Trevor Bayne 1.25
  • David Gilliland 1.11

GROUP E ($9.99 or lower)

  • Travis Kvapil 4.06
  • Michael Annett 4.00
  • Regan Smith 3.00 **
  • Alex Kennedy 2.80
  • Reed Sorensen 2.29
  • Dave Blaney 2.17
  • Landon Cassill 0.84
  • Alex Bowman 0.59
  • Josh Wise 0.27
  • Ryan Truex 0.11
  • Joe Nemecheck 0.11
Categories
Fantasy NASCAR

2014 Michigan International Speedway, Pure Michigan 400

AJ Allmendinger is a virtual lock to make the Chase by virtue of his win at Watkins Glen this past weekend. This is AJ’s first win in the Sprint Cup series and it couldn’t have come at a better time. Once again the finish at Watkins Glen was exciting, with Allmendinger, Marcos Ambrose, and Kurt Busch racing for the win after a restart with only two laps remaining in the race.

There are now twelve different winners so far this season and it looks like all of them should be in the top thirty in points after the next four races. That leaves only four spots open right now that will go to drivers by points. Right now Matt Kenseth, Ryan Newman, Clint Bowyer, and Kyle Larson hold those final four spots, but that could easily change over the next four weeks with new winners, or even a poor finish in a race that could drop these drivers out of the Chase and put another driver into the final spot.

PURE MICHIGAN 400

This week the series heads back to Michigan International Speedway for the running of the Pure Michigan 400. MIS is a 2-mile D-shaped oval track and it is very fast after being repaved. How much faster is it now? Kevin Harvick set a new track qualifying record in June at over 204.5 m.p.h. which is over 10 m.p.h. faster than the old track record. At these speeds, engines and tires are going to be at a premium this weekend.

Kevin Harvick: I am picking Kevin to win once again this weekend because he has been fast all season and he is due for another win. He has finished second in the last three races here and should be able to pick up that final position this weekend. I see this team coming with a very similar setup to what they had in June and they haven’t been having any mechanical issues lately. I think they have the correct setup to reduce tire wear while still be fast.

Matt Kenseth: Matt has won two races at this track and always seems to have a great car here. However, this season the Joe Gibbs Racing teams haven’t had the best cars and probably need to work on their aerodynamics more to be really competitive with the Hendrick and Penske teams right now. Matt should make the Chase no matter if he has a win or not because of his point standing, but I’m sure he would love to win a race and gain some valuable bonus points heading into the Chase.

Jimmie Johnson: Jimmie won the race here in June, but he has had a lot of issues over the past month or so. This team needs to figure out their tire issues before the Chase starts if they want to repeat as champions once again. With the speeds these cars will be running this weekend, there is going to be a lot of strain on the tires in the corners and a blown tire will end your day quickly.

Jeff Gordon: Jeff has always been good at Michigan finishing in the top ten in well over half of the races he has run here. That includes two wins, but he hasn’t won a race here since 2001. He did lead a bunch of laps here in June and came away with a sixth place finish in that race. This team has been consistent all year and that is why they are in first place in the standings right now.

Dale Earnhardt Jr.: This is the type of track that Dale should run very well at. He knows how to get off the corners and get back into the gas to carry that speed down the straightaways and that is the name of the game at Michigan. The way this team has run all year they have a great shot at winning another race this weekend. They are a legitimate title contender right now.

Joey Logano: Joey has one win at this track and has finished in the top ten in six of his eleven starts here. The Penske cars have been very fast all season at this type of track and this weekend should be no different. I look for Joey to qualify in the top five and have a car that is capable of winning this race. I think if they stay away from mechanical issues and penalties on pit road, they will have a shot at the end of this race.

Kasey Kahne: There are a couple of races before the Chase that this team has a good chance of winning and making it into the Chase. This is one of those races. Kasey has won a race here before and has finished in the top ten in almost half of his starts at this track. They have a chance to make the Chase by points, but I know they would rather win a race and take that chance out of the equation. Win and your in.

Greg Biffle: Greg has won four races at this track, but this season the Roush/Fenway cars have really struggled to find the speed on the intermediate tracks. Until they figure out why they can’t get the speed out of their cars that the competition is getting, I would stay away from these drivers on this type of track. Greg is only five points from the last Chase spot at this time, but would like to get a win and lock himself in.

Carl Edwards: Carl is already locked in the Chase, but they also have a Roush/Fenway car. They will not be able to win a championship this season unless they can find the speed on these tracks. The competition is too much better than they are right now and a poor finish in the Chase can spell doom for any driver with a three race knockout round.

Brad Keselowski: Brad is the other Penske driver that should have a fast car once again this weekend. They are all ready locked into the Chase and would just like to get a few more bonus points heading into the Chase. I look for Brad to qualify in the top five along with Joey Logano and if they can stay clean throughout the race, they should have a great shot at the end to visit victory lane.

YAHOO! FANTASY NASCAR PICKS FOR MICHIGAN INTERNATIONAL SPEEDWAY

Yahoo Driver Group A

  • Kevin Harvick
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Yahoo Driver Group B

  • Joey Logano
  • Brad Keselowski
  • Denny Hamlin
  • Aric Almirola

Yahoo Driver Group C

  • Jeff Burton
  • Kyle Larson

MY TOP-5 OVERALL AT MICHIGAN INTERNATIONAL SPEEDWAY

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Jeff Gordon

Dark Horse: Kyle Larson

Stay Away From: Greg Biffle

Categories
Fantasy NASCAR NASCAR Fantasy Live

NASCAR Fantasy Live Picks, 2014 Watkins Glen, Cheez-It 355

Pocono is not known for multi-car wrecks and most fantasy lineups were affected by the thirteen car incident. We should be able to gain some of our lost points back this week as NASCAR moves north for the second road course of the season. Generally, Watkins Glen is a predictable track, and we should expect some clear frontrunners. You should expect to have a successful week, as there are some good bargains from road course specialists to take advantage of this week.

Marcus Ambrose is the clear first choice at Watkins Glen. Ambrose is the only driver to lead a lap in the last five races and is second in total laps led in the last five years with 97. His average finish position is third among active drivers since 2005, his average running position is second, and he has the highest loop data score. With 121 laps where he was the fastest driver on the track and running in the top 15 for 85% of his laps, every data point reveals a high probability for success.

Along with Ambrose, Kyle Busch is also a clear choice for the road course. Kyle Busch has led the most laps of any driver in the last five years and boasts the best average finish position of 4.6 since 2005 at the track. He was in the top 15 for 92% of his laps and has an average running position of 5.4. Like Ambrose, Kyle Busch is an obvious pick with a high probability of success.

The third pick will go to AJ Allmendinger, who provides tremendous value due to his low salary cap figure. With an 8.8 average finish position, Allmendinger has the fifth-best average finish position since 2005. His average running position of 11.5 and 70% of laps in the top 15 are not as dominant as Ambrose or Busch, but there is enough consistency to pick him. Allmendinger’s biggest drawback is only 8 laps led and 8 fast laps in the last five years. Despite this concern, he should be worth the start.

Landon Cassill provides decent value, and I am picking him this week to add a better fifth driver. With an average finish position of 25.5 and a loop data of 40, Cassill’s numbers are not particularly impressive. He has, however, the best fantasy points per dollar since 2008. I suggested Cassill last week and he wrecked. I hope he makes up for it at Watkins Glen. Boris Said, with the same salary cap figure, was tempting here. I cannot get over how poor the equipment was during his last start at Sonoma. You could easily start Said instead of Cassill, but I will stick with the 40 Car.

These picks will leave enough salary cap room for Brad Keselowski as the fifth options. Initially, I was gearing to pick Tony Stewart here until I realized I had enough cap room for Keselowski. I was surprised that Keselowski has a lower than expected average running position of 12.3. He only has run in the top 15 for 69% of his laps. Both of these numbers are respectable and reveal his consistency. These numbers surprised me because Keselowski’s average finish position since 2005 is the second-best in the series with 6.5. Keselowski has a ticket punched for the chase. He could coast the last five races, but has a competitive streak. Keselowski will take risks to win this week at Watkins Glen.

FANTASY NASCAR LIVE SALARY CAP

Fantasy Live on Nascar.com combines fast laps, laps led, final position, and start-to-finish position differential. In order to prevent us from simply picking the top drivers every week, Fantasy Live utilizes a salary cap format. The goal is to find value in your picks.

The formula in this article basically calculates the total number of points accumulated in their scoring system and divides this number by their salary cap figure. We can then determine how many points to expect per fantasy dollar. Since I left him out of my lineup, we will look at Tony Stewart’s Watkins Glen Statistics as an example.

TONY STEWART AT WATKINS GLEN

  • Total laps led last five years: 34 = 3.4 Fantasy Live points per race
  • Fast laps: Cannot be calculated with 100% accuracy
  • Finish position: 13th place average = 31 Fantasy Live points per race
  • Start to finish differential: Minus 6 = Negative 6 Fantasy Live points per race
  • Average number of points per race: 28.40
  • Salary Cap figure on Fantasy Live: $22.75
  • Points per dollar: 28.4 / 22.75 = 1.25 fantasy points per dollar

Please review the fantasy points per dollar figures below for Watkins Glen with this week’s picks in bold. For rookies with no history at the track, we will use their 2014 averages to give you an idea what to expect from them.

GROUP A ($25.00 or higher)

  • Kyle Busch 2.04
  • Brad Keselowski 1.81
  • Carl Edwards 1.70
  • Clint Bowyer 1.53
  • Matt Kenseth 1.53
  • Kevin Harvick 1.29
  • Jimmie Johnson 1.01
  • Joey Logano 0.92
  • Kasey Kahne 0.91
  • Jeff Gordon 0.68
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr. 0.54

GROUP B ($20.00 – $24.99)

  • Marcus Ambrose 1.99
  • Martin Truex Jr. 1.60
  • Austin Dillon 1.46
  • Tony Stewart 1.25
  • Greg Biffle 1.23
  • Kyle Larson 1.21
  • Kyle Busch 1.16
  • Paul Menard 1.14
  • Ryan Newman 1.02
  • Brian Vickers 0.92
  • Jamie McMurray 0.46
  • Aric Almirola 0.43

GROUP C ($15.00 – $19.99)

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 2.08
  • AJ Allmendinger 2.05
  • Casey Mears 1.97
  • Justin Allgaier 1.31

GROUP D ($10.00 – $14.99)

  • David Ragan 2.63
  • David Gilliland 2.16
  • Cole Whitt 1.77

GROUP E ($9.99 or lower)

  • Landon Cassill 4.28
  • Ryan Truex 2.82
  • Michael Annett 2.26
  • Reed Sorenson 1.57
  • Josh Wise 0.80
  • Boris Said 0.80
  • Joe Nemecheck 0.47
  • Michael McDowell (-2.15)
Categories
Fantasy NASCAR

2014 Watkins Glen, Cheez-It 355 at The Glen

Congratulations to Dale Earnhardt Jr. on picking up his third victory of the season and sweeping the races at Pocono this year. The win gives Dale the same amount of bonus points when the Chase starts as Jimmie Johnson and Brad Keselowkski with three wins each so far this season. Now there are only five races left until the Chase and there are still spots up for grabs.

CHEEZ-IT 355 AT THE GLEN

With only five races left until the Chase the series heads to Watkins Glen, NY for the second road-course race of the season. I think that the series will fill another Chase spot with a different winner this week, which means someone else won’t make it on points.

Right now Greg Biffle holds the final spot for the Chase in the point standings, one point ahead of Kasey Kahne, two points ahead of Austin Dillon, and five points behind Kyle Larson. I believe this last spot will be taken by Marcos Ambrose this week when he wins the race at Watkins Glen and qualifies for the Chase and then the next four weeks will be a real battle to secure the final spot in the Chase. The fireworks are going to fly.

Marcos Ambrose: Marcos has had a terrible year after improving over the last few years since he joined the series. I thought he would win the race at Sonoma earlier this season, but that didn’t happen and now the only way he makes the Chase is to win a race. That race will happen this weekend on the road course or it won’t happen at all. Marcos has nothing to lose by letting it all hang out and that is exactly what he will do this weekend.

Tony Stewart: Tony has won five times at Watkins Glen and he needs a win to make the Chase also. I picked Marcos to win because he is at home at a road course, but Tony is no slouch here and anyone that knows Tony’s passion for racing knows that he will not go down quietly. You will see a man on a mission doing everything he can to win this race and qualify his team for the Chase, and he can do it.

Jeff Gordon: Jeff won three races in a row and four out of five here early in his career. The way this team has been performing this season, they are in that same form right now as they were years ago when Jeff was winning a lot of races and championships and this team has that same mentality right now.

Brad Keselowski: Brad already has three wins this season and is solidly in the Chase. That doesn’t matter to him right now. He enjoys the competition so much that he isn’t afraid to mix it up with anyone on a road course. I think one of the best finishes I ever saw in NASCAR was the last lap battle between Brad, Marcos, and Kyle Busch that Marcos won and all Brad said after the race was something to the effect of, that is the way racing is supposed to be.

Kyle Busch: Now we talk about Kyle. Oil on the track on the last lap of the race I am talking about above, is what cost him that race. Kyle has won two races here and without the oil probably would have three wins here already. Kyle finished thirty-third in the first race he ran here, but hasn’t finished outside of the top ten since then, nine races ago. He is also the defending champion at this track.

Carl Edwards: Carl has six top ten finishes in nine career starts at this track. The big question with this team right now is will they give Carl what he needs to win a race or will this team use him for experimentation for the rest of the season now that he won’t be driving for Roush/Fenway next season. I don’t think it will be bad as long as Carl is in contention to win the championship, but one never really knows.

Kevin Harvick: Kevin has won a race here before, and the way he has been driving this season, one never knows when he will win again. He has had a car capable of winning every week this year and this week will be no different. Kevin has been racing long enough to know that seasons like this don’t come along all the time and you had better take advantage of them while you can.

Jimmie Johnson: I think it is time for this team to address the right rear tire problem that has been plaguing them for the past month or more. With three wins under their belt, I think they had the right idea to experiment with lower tire pressures, but now that we are getting closer to the Chase, I think they need to get back in the trend of just trying to win races on their talent.

These are your top picks for this week’s race. There will be some road course specialists enter into this week’s race, and if you are in a league like the Yahoo league where you can only start drivers so often during the season you will need to take a chance on one of these drivers this weekend. I am pretty sure that Boris Said will be entered in a car and we will need to watch the entry list that comes out on Tuesday to see if drivers like Juan Pablo Montoya are in the field. This type of pick can put you over the top in your individual league where the rest of the competition doesn’t know who is entered into the race. Check back Wednesday or Thursday after the entry list is out to see any changes I have made to the C group for the Yahoo league.

YAHOO! FANTASY NASCAR PICKS FOR WATKINS GLEN INTERNATIONAL

Yahoo Driver Group A

  • Jeff Gordon
  • Kyle Busch

Yahoo Driver Group B

  • Marcos Ambrose
  • Tony Stewart
  • Jamie McMurray
  • Brad Keselowski

Yahoo Driver Group C

  • Boris Said
  • Nelson Piquet Jr.

MY TOP-5 OVERALL AT WATKINS GLEN INTERNATIONAL

  1. Marcos Ambrose
  2. Tony Stewart
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Brad Keselowski

Dark Horse: Jamie McMurray

Stay Away From: Dale Earnhardt Jr.