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Fantasy NASCAR NASCAR Fantasy Live

NASCAR FANTASY LIVE PICKS, 2015 BRISTOL, IRWIN TOOLS NIGHT RACE

The NASCAR series returns south of the Mason-Dixon this week and returns to Bristol Motor Speedway for the second running of the season. When Brad Keselowski ran into Joey Logano in the early laps, I saw two drivers in my lineup limp to bad results earlier this season. I am hoping for better luck in the second installment.

With only a few races until the Chase, drivers have different strategies. Likewise, your fantasy teams position in the NASCAR Fantasy Live standings should determine how you handle your lineup. If you want to play it safe, choose drivers on the bubble of qualifying for the Chase as they are likely to have conservative setups. If you find yourself at the bottom of the standings, go for broke with drivers who need to win to get in. Either way, the key to Bristol is to pick the drivers who lead laps. Like last week with Matt Kenseth, this is a race of the haves and the have-nots. The amount of laps will enable dramatic swings in the standings. Your basic strategy should be to front-load your lineup in an effort to caputrue the laps led. My recommended lineup is based on a conservative approach based on my current position in the standings.

My first choice for my lineup won the Bristol Food City 500 race in 2015. Though he rarely finds his way onto my team, Matt Kenseth has seen consistent success at the short track. Over the last five Bristol races, he has two wins under his belt and three top-5 finishes. His 508 laps led during this stretch is the best in the series. He only led 47 laps in his winning effort in April, but he spent 100% of his laps inside the top-15 and had an average running position of 3rd. Over the long haul, Kenseth has 14 top-10 finishes since 2005 and has the second-most laps led. In 2015, Kenseth has enjoyed eight top-5 and 14 top-10 finishes in the first 22 races. He has only led 147 laps this entire season, but luckily two of those laps got him to the winner’s circle. Though not usually one of my lineup recommendations, Matt Kenseth should help your team this week.

The 2nd roster spot is reserved to a driver who is not a stranger to my Fantasy Live lineup. Kevin Harvick had a rare bad finish at the last Bristol race, but led 184 laps before being wrecked. With only six top-10 finishes in the last 21 Bristol races, Harvick has not seen long-term success in Tennessee. Harvick has hands-down been the best driver in the Series in 2015. With 15 top-5 finishes and 1,391 laps led this season, Harvick has a high probability for success this week if he can stay clear of the wrecks this time.

While Kyle Busch has long-term success at the track and was a tempting roster choice, there were some low cost drivers that I wanted on my roster. As a result, I had to save some salary cap funds with the 3rd spot. Paul Menard has earned three top-10 finishes in his last five Bristol races. In 2015, Menard has four top-10 finishes and an average finish position of 15.8. My concern with Menard is that I can leave a lot of points on the table with laps led and fast laps, but he should not hurt my team with a solid finish.

I left a little extra salary cap room for the final two spots because I like Ricky Stenhouse Jr. and Justin Allgaier. Stenhouse finished in 4th place in the April race at Bristol. Over five starts at the track, Stenhouse has three top-10 finishes and a 9th place average finish position in Bristol. His salary cap figure is low due to a 26th place average finish position in 2015. I expect the #17 car to exceed expectations this week. Justin Allgaier is always a risky option as he ends up in the wall as often as he crosses the finish line. He finished in 8th place in Bristol earlier this season and has a 14th place average finish at the track. Like Stenhouse, his 27th place average finish position in 2015 is pedestrian. There is a chance I could alter my lineup after qualifying to try to capture the laps led points, but I want to keep the #17 and #51 if at all possible. If you look at the numbers, there is value with the budget drivers this week.

FANTASY NASCAR LIVE SALARY CAP

Fantasy Live on nascar.com uses a scoring system that combines fast laps, laps led, finish position, and start-to-finish differential. In order to prevent us from simply starting the best drivers every week, Fantasy Live uses a salary cap format. First, our formula calculates the average number of points earned by each driver over the last five Bristol races. Next, we divide this number by the Fantasy Live salary cap number to find out which drivers are expected to provide the most value. Joey Logano has been on a tear over the last month and a half. Although he missed my roster, we will use his numbers to further illustrate the formula.

JOEY LOGANO AT BRISTOL

  • Laps Led last five Bristol races: 89 equals 8.9 Fantasy Live points per race
  • Fast Laps: 88 equals 8.8 Fantasy Live points per race
  • Average Finish Position: 16.6 equals 27.4 Fantasy Live points per race
  • Start-to-Finish Differential: Negative 10.4 equals (-10.4 Fantasy Live points per race)
  • Total Fantasy Live points per race: 34.7
  • Fantasy Live salary cap figure: $27.75
  • Fantasy points per dollar: 34.7 divided by $27.75 equals 1.25 points per dollar

Below you will find the Fantasy Live points per dollar for each driver in the field this week. For drivers with no track data, we will use the 2015 numbers to give you an idea how much value to expect this week. My picks are highlighted in bold.

GROUP A ($25.00 or higher)

  • Matt Kenseth 3.68
  • Kevin Harvick 1.89
  • Kurt Busch 1.82
  • Jamie McMurray 1.80
  • Kyle Busch 1.57
  • Brad Keselowski 1.48
  • Jimmie Johnson 1.46
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr. 1.33
  • Joey Logano 1.25
  • Denny Hamlin 0.88

GROUP B ($20.00 – $24.99)

  • Kyle Larson 3.43
  • Carl Edwards 2.78
  • Kasey Kahne 2.43
  • Clint Bowyer 2.19
  • Jeff Gordon 2.10
  • Paul Menard 2.08
  • Ryan Newman 1.58
  • Aric Almirola 1.42
  • Martin Truex Jr. 0.49

GROUP C ($15.00 – $19.99)

  • Tony Stewart 2.62
  • Austin Dillon 2.22
  • Greg Biffle 2.10

GROUP D ($10.00 – $14.99)

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 4.78
  • Justin Allgaier 3.76
  • Sam Hornish Jr. 3.10
  • Danica Patrick 2.46
  • AJ Allmendinger 1.66
  • Trevor Bayne 1.47
  • David Ragan 1.42
  • Casey Mears 1.36
  • Cole Whitt 0.97
  • Ryan Blaney 0.73 *

GROUP E ($9.99 or lower)

  • Travis Kvapil 5.12
  • Reed Sorenson 5.00
  • JJ Yeley 4.09
  • Michael Annett 3.69
  • Matt DiBenedetto 3.31
  • Alex Bowman 2.92
  • Josh Wise 2.85
  • David Gilliland 2.42
  • Brett Moffitt 1.79
  • Mike Bliss 1.48
  • Michael McDowell 0.81
  • Timmy Hill 0.20
  • Jeb Burton (-0.95)

* Driver has no track data, and we are using his 2015 numbers.

Categories
Fantasy NASCAR NASCAR Fantasy Live

NASCAR FANTASY LIVE PICKS, 2015 BRISTOL, FOOD CITY 500 IN SUPPORT OF STEVE BYRNES AND STAND UP TO CANCER

After watching Jimmie Johnson hold off Kevin Harvick in the Duck Commander 500 at Texas Motor Speedway for his second win of the season, NASCAR moves back east to Bristol Motor Speedway. Due to the nature of the track, Bristol is one of the most exciting races of the season. This week’s pick is challenging because there are many drivers who have seen success at the steep track.

My suggestion is to front-load your lineup and hope you pick the drivers who dominate the laps led and fast laps. With 500 laps in the race, there will be a great disparity between the haves and the have nots in your fantasy leagues. Keep a close eye on qualifying as you may want to roster the teams that start at the front.

The first driver on my team seems to always be running in 8th place, and I hope this pattern changes this week. Over the past five Bristol races, Kenseth has twice as many laps led as the second-best driver (tied between Hamlin and Edwards). His average finish position is a modest 15.4, but his lap-to-lap performance is the best in the series. With eight top-5 finishes in his last 20 Bristol races, Kenseth has seen the most success at the track. After ignoring track history last week and keeping Jimmie Johnson out of my lineup, I want to make sure the driver with the best track history remains in my lineup.

The second driver for my lineup has the best average finish position over the past five Bristol races. Joey Logano was in my lineup last week, and stayed in the top-5 for most of the race. However, he did not lead too many laps and was only an adequate selection. He is second to Kenseth in lap-to-lap performance and has a high probability for success this week. Although his long-term numbers at the track are not impressive, Logano is one of the best drivers in the series and should run near the top.

Usually, I select the third top driver for my lineup and fill the remaining with the best available budget drivers. Due to the value of Justin Allgaier and David Ragan this week, I added the budget drivers first and will fill the fifth spot with the best driver available. Allgaier seems like he wrecks every week, and I am afraid to include him on my roster. He generally outperforms his value on shorter tracks and averaged an 18th place finish in two Bristol races. He had similar numbers at Martinsville and did not finish the race. I will take the risk and hope it pays off.

I left David Ragan off my roster a couple of weeks ago at Martinsville due to his underwhelming track data. I regretted keeping him off my team. The scenario is similar at Bristol, where Ragan enjoys a 23rd place average finish over the last five races. That number should alone provide value. With the #18 team, he is likely to improve on his average. If you value track data, then you may want to choose Ricky Stenhouse Jr. who has great numbers in a limited amount of Bristol races.

With the remaining budget, the best driver for the final roster spot is Carl Edwards. Edwards has led 242 laps over his last five Bristol races and is becoming more consistent as the season progresses. He only has a 17th place average finish position over the same time span, which makes him slightly risky. With nine top-10 finishes in his last 20 Bristol races, Edwards has shown enough consistency at the track to be a contender this week.

FANTASY NASCAR LIVE SALARY CAP

Fantasy Live on nascar.com uses a scoring system that combines fast laps, laps led, average finish position, and start-to-finish differential. In order to prevent us from starting the top drivers every week, Fantasy Live uses a salary cap format. Our formula first calculates the average number of Fantasy Live points earned by each driver over the last five Bristol races. Next, we divide that number by the Fantasy Live salary cap figure in order to know which starters will provide the most value for your fantasy dollars. I like Kasey Kahne this week, but he got squeezed out of my roster. As a consolation prize, we will use Kasey’s Bristol numbers to further illustrate our formula.

KASEY KAHNE AT BRISTOL

  • Average finish position last five Bristol races: 11th place equals 33 Fantasy Live points
  • Start-to-finish differential: Plus 2.4 equals 2.4 Fantasy Live points
  • Laps led: 207 laps equals 20.7 Fantasy Live points per race
  • Fast laps: 215 equals 21.5 Fantasy Live points per race
  • Total points per Bristol race: 72.8
  • Fantasy Live Salary Cap: $25.00
  • Points per Fantasy Live dollar: 2.91

Below are the numbers for each driver. We will use the 2015 numbers for drivers with no track history. Recommended picks are in bold. Stay tuned after qualifying as I try to include any updates in the comments.

GROUP A ($25.00 or higher)

  • Matt Kenseth 3.47
  • Kasey Kahne 2.91
  • Joey Logano 2.45
  • Kyle Larson 2.24
  • Jamie McMurray 1.85
  • Jeff Gordon 1.82
  • Denny Hamlin 1.80
  • Jimmie Johnson 1.75
  • Brad Keselowski 1.46
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr. 1.40
  • Kevin Harvick 1.37

GROUP B ($20.00 – $24.99)

  • Carl Edwards 2.77
  • Clint Bowyer 2.34
  • Paul Menard 2.12
  • Greg Biffle 2.03
  • Kurt Busch 1.48
  • Martin Truex Jr. 1.25
  • Ryan Newman 1.06
  • Aric Almirola 0.74

GROUP C ($15.00 – $19.99)

  • Austin Dillon 1.81
  • Tony Stewart 1.39
  • Sam Hornish Jr. 0.31

GROUP D ($10.00 – $14.99)

  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 4.19
  • Justin Allgaier 3.48
  • Danica Patrick 2.00
  • David Gilliland 1.91
  • David Ragan 1.68
  • Casey Mears 1.61

GROUP E ($9.99 or lower)

  • Chris Bueschler 4.62 *
  • JJ Yeley 4.60
  • Landon Cassill 3.27
  • Alex Kennedy 2.72 *
  • Josh Wise 2.37
  • Michael Annett 2.32
  • Matt DiBenedetto 2.26 *
  • Brendan Gaughan 2.10 *
  • Mike Bliss 1.81 *
  • Jeb Burton 1.77 *
  • Alex Bowman 1.71
  • Michael McDowell 1.07
  • Cole Whitt 0.08
  • Brett Moffitt (-0.94)

* Driver has no track data, and we are using his 2015 numbers.

Categories
Fantasy NASCAR NASCAR Fantasy Live

NASCAR Fantasy Live Picks, 2014 Bristol, Irwin Tools Night Race

With only a few weeks remaining until the playoffs begin, many teams will be taking great risks to qualify for the Chase. Bristol Motor Speedway is a short-track with deep banking, and the end result will be multiple paint transfers. From a fantasy racing perspective, Bristol is a relatively predictable track where the top drivers are expected to finish near the top. With short tracks, there are more point opportunities for laps led and fast laps. As a result, my suggestion is to pick your three favorite drivers, then fill in the other two spots with the salary cap leftovers.

When using the Fantasy NASCAR Statistics Wizard tool to look at the multiple data points at Bristol since 2005, three drivers stand out from the pack. Jeff Gordon, Matt Kenseth, and Kyle Busch provide the best chances for success. Kyle Larson has the best average running position and loop data of any driver, but he only has a sample size of one race. Of the drivers with more than one race in their history, Jeff Gordon has the best average running position of 9.8. Gordon runs in the top 15 for 81% of his laps since 2005. In this same time span, Gordon is 10th in total laps led and fifth in fast laps. This is a little low, but there are high expectations for Gordon.

Kyle Busch has led the most laps of any drivers and also leads fast laps since 2005. With an average finish position of 12.9 and 66% of his laps in the top 15, Busch also should be near the top when the checkered flag falls. Matt Kenseth is second with fast laps and laps led since 2005. He also ties Gordon with 81% of his laps in the top 15. Jimmie Johnson has the historical data to show his success, but I will not trust his team for a few more weeks. They are working on setups and have proved to be a high-risk high-reward team over the past month.

I like these three drivers this week, and I better like them because choosing these three drivers does not leave much salary cap space. Landon Cassill has averaged a 21st place average over the last five Bristol night races. If he gets close to this finish, he will be worth starting. David Ragan has been one of my value starters for many races this year, and almost always provides value for his salary cap space. He has a 22nd place average at Bristol and should be functional. Keep an eye on Reed Sorenson as well as he is expected to outperform his salary cap number.

FANTASY NASCAR LIVE SALARY CAP

NASCAR Fantasy Live on nascar.com uses a salary cap formula that prevents us from simply choosing the top drivers each week. The scoring system uses the statistics of laps led, fast laps, start-to-finish differential, and final position.

This article uses a formula that determines how many points a driver has earned per race over the last five years and divides that number by the salary cap figure. The end result is a number that will show how many fantasy points to expect from each fantasy dollar. We will look at the driver who just missed my cut this week, Dale Earnhardt Jr., to show the details of the formula.

DALE EARNHARDT JR AT BRISTOL

  • Total laps led last five Bristol night races: 45 laps led = 4.5 fantasy live points per race
  • Fast laps: Cannot be calculated with 100% accuracy
  • Final position: 12th place average = 32 fantasy live points per race
  • Start-to-finish differential: Plus ten = 10 fantasy live points per race
  • Fantasy Live Points Per Race: 46.5
  • Fantasy Live Salary Cap Figure: $28
  • Final Ranking 46.5 / $28 = 1.70 points per fantasy dollar

Please review the rankings below for the last five Bristol night races. For rookie drivers, we are using their numbers from the last Bristol race to give you an idea what to expect from them. This week’s selections are shown in bold.

GROUP A ($25.00 or higher)

  • Kyle Busch 3.43
  • Jimmie Johnson 2.50
  • Jeff Gordon 2.42
  • Matt Kenseth 2.21
  • Kasey Kahne 1.71
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr. 1.70
  • Clint Bowyer 1.53
  • Carl Edwards 1.32
  • Joey Logano 1.19
  • Brad Keselowski 0.81
  • Kevin Harvick 0.47

GROUP B ($20.00 – $24.99)

  • Austin Dillon 2.26
  • Brian Vickers 2.06
  • Kyle Larson 2.05
  • Marcus Ambrose 1.89
  • Denny Hamlin 1.80
  • Greg Biffle 1.76
  • Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 1.75
  • Jamie McMurray 1.67
  • Martin Truex Jr. 1.53
  • Paul Menard 1.37
  • Kurt Busch 1.12
  • Ryan Newman 0.98
  • Aric Almirola 0.29

GROUP C ($15.00 – $19.99)

  • Justin Allgaier 2.67
  • Jeff Burton 1.97
  • Danica Patrick 1.44
  • Casey Mears 0.94
  • AJ Allmendinger 0.39

GROUP D ($10.00 – $14.99)

  • David Ragan 2.38
  • Cole Whitt 1.67
  • David Gilliland 0.94

GROUP E ($9.99 or lower)

  • JJ Yeley 4.62
  • Landon Cassill 4.28
  • David Stremme 4.17
  • Reed Sorenson 3.43
  • Michael Annett 2.67
  • Alex Bowman 1.53
  • Dave Blaney 1.00
  • Michael McDowell 0.32
  • Josh Wise (-0.13)
  • Ryan Truex (-1.26)
Categories
Fantasy NASCAR

2014 Bristol Motor Speedway, Irwin Tools Night Race

Jeff Gordon won his third race of the season at Michigan last week and looks like a strong contender for this year’s championship. The win ties him with Jimmie Johnson, Dale Earnhardt Jr., and Brad Keselowski for most wins on the season with only three races left until the Chase starts. Kyle Larson dropped out of the last Chase spot after a disappointing last place finish and now Greg Biffle and Kasey Kahne are fighting for the last Chase spot to go by points. If we get another different winner in the next three races, that spot will vanish.

IRWIN TOOLS NIGHT RACE

This week the series heads back to Bristol Motor Speedway for the running of the Irwin Tools Night Race. This Saturday night race is one of my favorites of the year and always has a lot of excitement in it. This is also a track where we could see the thirteenth different winner on the season.

Bristol is a slightly longer than half-mile high banked track that the drivers can get around in about fifteen seconds. Qualifying is important at this track because you want to get a good pit stall. The pits are located all the way around the track and your pit stall location could be the difference between winning and losing this race.

Jeff Gordon: I am picking Jeff to win his fourth race of the season this week. Jeff has five career wins at this track and the way he has been running lately, it is hard to pick against him. This team is hitting on all cylinders right now and that is exactly where you want to be as we close in on the Chase. Every bonus point will come in handy once the Chase starts also.

Kyle Busch: Kyle also has five career wins at Bristol and would like to come away with a great finish this week after hitting the wall very early in the race at Michigan last week which lead to a dismal finish for him. Kyle has the mentality to win at Bristol where trading paint is the name of the game. If they can start towards the front of the field he will have a great shot at winning this race.

Kurt Busch: Kurt is another driver with five wins at this track and I think that with his new team he should have a car that is good enough for him to get back to victory lane once again this season. Look for Kurt to be in contention at the end of this race if they can stay out of trouble early in the race. Small mistakes are huge at this track because you can find yourself down multiple laps in a hurry if you have a penalty on pit road.

Brad Keselowski: Brad has won twice here in only nine starts and he loves this type of racing where you can trade a little paint if you need to move someone out of your way as you work your way through traffic. If you go to Bristol with this mind set you will be successful more often than not. Brad never seems to get too upset when someone bumps him when they are racing hard and knows that he can do the same.

Carl Edwards: Carl won the race here in March and this is the type of track that this team has been good at this season. They have really struggled on the intermediate tracks, but have been very good on the short tracks. Carl could very well pick up his third short track win of the season and gain some valuable bonus points for the Chase. However, if they want to have a real shot at winning the championship this year they will have to correct the problems they have on those intermediate tracks.

Greg Biffle: Greg has never won a race at Bristol in the Sprint Cup series, but he has had some very good cars and very bad luck during the races here. Instead of worrying if he can make the Chase on points he would just love to get the win here this weekend. If this team can stay close to the front and have a flawless pit stop late in the race they should have a good chance of getting that win.

Matt Kenseth: Matt won this race last year which gave him three career victories at this track. Matt should make the Chase on points without a win, but they would like to get that win for the bonus point. A win would also give this team some confidence as we near the Chase. You are going to have to win races during the Chase to win the championship and those who have wins going in know that they can finish races.

Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Dale has one win at Bristol and has finished in the top ten in almost half of his starts here. This team looks good every week on all types of tracks. They will have a great chance at winning the championship the way they are going about business this season and I think they will win at least one more race this season.

Jimmie Johnson: Jimmie has struggled for the past couple of months with mechanical problems that has taken them out of races. I think this is the type of track that this team will be able to turn their fortunes around at this weekend. I don’t think we will see a lot of tire issues this weekend which is something that has really plagued this team lately.

Kevin Harvick: Kevin has one career win at Bristol, but he has only one top ten finish here in his last eleven starts. However, the way this team has brought a fast car to the track every week this season, I think they will be a contender once again this weekend. All they need is for all the cautions to fall right for them just like every other team.

YAHOO! FANTASY NASCAR PICKS FOR BRISTOL MOTOR SPEEDWAY

Yahoo Driver Group A

  • Jeff Gordon
  • Kyle Busch

Yahoo Driver Group B

  • Carl Edwards
  • Greg Biffle
  • Brad Keselowski
  • Marcos Ambrose

Yahoo Driver Group C

  • Jeff Burton (tentative)
  • Austin Dillon

MY TOP-5 OVERALL AT BRISTOL MOTOR SPEEDWAY

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Carl Edwards
  5. Brad Keselowski

Dark Horse: Marcos Ambrose

Stay Away From: Brian Vickers

Categories
Fantasy NASCAR

2014 Bristol Motor Speedway, Food City 500

Three weeks are in the books and we have had three different winners at three different types of tracks. Congratulations to Brad Keselowski, who took advantage of Dale Earnhardt Jr. running out of fuel on the final lap to win his first race of the 2014 season. Dale Jr. hung on to finish second and has finished in the top two in all three races so far this year.

This week the series heads back east for the running of the Food City 500 at the Bristol Motor Speedway in Bristol, TN. Bristol will be the fourth different type of track the drivers will race on in just as many weeks. For me, the Bristol races are always two of the most exciting races of the season. Where else can you watch 43 cars compete on a half-mile high banked oval where they make a circuit in about 15 seconds? If you are going to watch any race this year, try and make it this weeks’s race.

FOOD CITY 500

Brad Keselowski: I am picking Brad to win his second race in a row this week. He has two wins in eight career starts here and finished third in this race last season. I hate to go against momentum and this team has looked very good every week so far this year.

Dale Earnhardt Jr.: Before you all write and tell me that Dale has the most momentum of all the drivers and would have won last week’s race had he not run out of fuel, I will say that you are correct. However, he hasn’t won a race here since 2004 and that is why I am giving the nod to Brad this week. That doesn’t mean that Dale won’t have another good run at this track. He finished in the top ten in both of the Bristol races last season.

Clint Bowyer: Clint had a disappointing finish at Las Vegas last weekend and would like to get his first ever win at Bristol this week to virtually lock himself into the Chase. Clint is always very good here and has the right attitude to get the job done at this track. I think he will have a great car as soon as they take it off the truck this week and will be able to make some noise during the race on Sunday.

Kasey Kahne: Kasey won this race last season and then followed that up with a runner-up finish in the fall race here. With stats like that it is hard to bet against him this weekend at Bristol and I will have him on my Yahoo team this week.

Brian Vickers: Brian has been one of the most consistent drivers at Bristol over his career. He has run four races for Michael Waltrip Racing in the past two seasons at this track and has never finished worse than eighth. Brian is my dark horse for this week and I will be interested to see how he practices and qualifies this weekend. If he can start in the top twenty, I think he will come away with another great finish here.

Kyle Busch: Kyle has five career wins at this track and had a great car last week at Las Vegas until late in the race when it looked like they didn’t make the right adjustments on their last pit stop. Kyle had the best type of attitude for racing at Bristol. He doesn’t mind mixing it up with the bumpers and that is the exact attitude you need to win at this track. The chrome horn rules here, especially over the last handful of laps.

Jeff Gordon: Jeff is another driver with five career wins at this track, although his last win here came back in 2002. This team has looked better this year than the last few seasons and he knows how to get around this track. He would like nothing better than to get a win early in the season so that he doesn’t have to worry about making the Chase as the weeks wind down this summer.

Kurt Busch: Kurt is the third driver with five career wins here and he ran amazingly well last year with Furniture Row Racing. Now that he is with Stewart/Haas Racing he is expecting even better things for his team. If Kevin Harvick can run as well as he is with the same equipment, then Kurt can too.

Paul Menard: Paul is my honorable mention dark horse driver this week. He has four straight top ten finishes at Bristol and had a fantastic finish last week at Las Vegas, which should boost the whole teams confidence. I look for him to run well here once again this weekend.

Kevin Harvick: Let’s not forget about Kevin this week. After a disappointing finish last week when a front left wheel bearing froze up on him as he was leading the race. This team will be chomping at the bit to get to Bristol and get back on the race track. He has nine top five finishes in twenty-six starts here including one win.

YAHOO! FANTASY NASCAR PICKS FOR BRISTOL MOTOR SPEEDWAY

Yahoo Driver Group A

  • Kasey Kahne
  • Clint Bowyer

Yahoo Driver Group B

  • Brad Keselowski
  • Brian Vickers
  • Denny Hamlin
  • Paul Menard

Yahoo Driver Group C

  • Kyle Larson
  • Austin Dillon

MY TOP-5 OVERALL AT BRISTOL MOTOR SPEEDWAY

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Kasey Kahne
  3. Clint Bowyer
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Dale Earnhardt Jr.

Dark Horse: Brian Vickers, Paul Menard

Stay Away From: Tony Stewart