i look at it as "who can win today"
the difference between a winner who obviously leads a lap and a 3rd place finisher who doesn't lead a lap is 105 pts. to 88 under DGG rules.
that's a 17 point swing for only 2 track positions.
my top 4 things before roster lock is...
1) i use loop data for 3 best drivers from the fastest lap column for the prior races at that track.
2) top 3 drivers for laps led at the track in prior races
3) loop data for "running in the top 15 each lap for the races prior" 3 best drivers
some dirvers may show a top 10 finish but got lucky due to gas mileage and ran 23rd most of the day.
4) DGG points at that track.
some B and C drivers rack up 7-10 stage points over and over but may have similar finish points than those that don't get stage points.
i usually don't change my top guys after practice and qualifying unless somebody is just junk off the truck and practice /qualifying stink.
in the old days, i used to take my top guy that was starting 12th and bench him for the guy starting 7th.
over the years my qualifying thoughts aren't worth the switch because you end up yelling at the TV all race.
now i stick with my top guys almost always unless they qualify 25th or worse.
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